inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement8.6 [235] MVPTobias Harris (PHI): +29.5%
Philadelphia 76ers 106 Comeback2.8 [604] LVPJimmy Butler (PHI): -24.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.040.08-0.001358%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.070.00764%0.1300.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
James Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Josh Richardson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.001543%0.072-0.1100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00629%-0.0400.0020%-0.04
Justise Winslow-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.060.001150%0.011-0.0600%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.011845%-0.002-0.07650%-0.03
Dion Waiters-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09-0.01-0.070.021653%-0.013-0.082100%0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.110.200.011564%0.321-0.03667%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.240.240.040.19-0.011250%0.2400.002100%0.01
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.110.110.060.070.02779%0.255-0.131070%0.04
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Ben Simmons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.05-0.011947%0.122-0.08743%-0.06
James Ennis III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02430%-0.011-0.04250%-0.00
Jonah Bolden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.01530%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.03-0.220.001450%0.023-0.268100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.432.515.323.62.531.9130.7
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +19.5%
PHI +35.0%
PHI +20.7%
MIA -28.1%
PHI +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game14.314.114.3102.0102.9109.3
season14.814.0106.3110.9
opponent14.114.3108.1106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.915.912.713.714.3
PHI13.313.515.014.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson13140.10-0.600.71-0.076-101614.814.20.6616.213.82.44
Rodney McGruder49470.08-0.580.67-0.096-101614.214.3-0.1315.213.22.00
Bam Adebayo32350.00-0.500.51-0.2910-142414.414.20.1515.813.22.52
Justise Winslow6063-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-6814.014.7-0.6714.214.00.13
Hassan Whiteside4345-0.20-0.300.100.12-117-1814.913.81.1213.414.6-1.22
Josh Richardson7580-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.537-111813.915.2-1.2914.811.73.10
Kelly Olynyk6363-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.11-84-1213.815.1-1.2913.515.0-1.50
Dion Waiters6366-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-117-1814.513.90.6013.515.2-1.65
Derrick Jones Jr.3635-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-128-2014.714.00.6213.114.6-1.46
Dwyane Wade6667-0.890.39-1.27-0.62-95-1414.414.10.3213.315.7-2.44

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris77740.93-0.431.350.3719-153413.416.1-2.6414.613.31.25
Jimmy Butler78740.68-0.180.850.3212-82013.815.0-1.1814.414.00.42
JJ Redick74700.370.130.240.40-15-615.011.83.2214.613.51.15
Boban Marjanovic59550.360.140.210.0610-61614.014.2-0.1714.513.90.61
Ben Simmons81800.350.150.200.44-37-1014.313.50.7714.214.5-0.29
T.J. McConnell25240.310.190.120.078-41213.814.2-0.4114.914.10.80
James Ennis III17180.070.43-0.36-0.085-1611.814.6-2.7313.814.4-0.53
Jonathon Simmons3738-0.120.62-0.740.14-913-2213.914.2-0.2513.614.7-1.03
Mike Scott3736-0.220.72-0.930.08-1014-2415.213.51.6513.115.0-1.90
Jonah Bolden3031-0.220.72-0.940.10-1115-2614.514.00.5114.114.3-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 100, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.96,190.5%
PHI 87, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.73,190.4%
NYK 105, BKN 1070.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.83,190.4%