NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	4.9 [868]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +33.2%
Chicago Bulls	122		Comeback	1.9 [678]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (MEM): -5.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Caboclo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	57%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	43%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	14	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.29	0.07	0.03	20	88%	0.38	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	15	69%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	53%	0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Rawle Alkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.5	15.3	25.7	2.5	32.2	128.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.9%

CHI +17.2%

CHI +15.5%

MEM -15.2%

CHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	14.3	110.0	123.2	109.3
season	15.4	14.6		105.4	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.7	13.8	16.0	13.8	14.3
CHI	13.0	13.4	13.3	19.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Caboclo	22	22	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.20	13	-25	38	11.3	15.4	-4.09	15.6	14.6	1.04
Delon Wright	54	54	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.33	17	-29	46	13.4	15.8	-2.39	15.6	13.7	1.88
Joakim Noah	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-20	28	13.9	14.8	-0.88	17.4	13.1	4.30
Jevon Carter	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-18	24	13.7	14.8	-1.13	16.5	14.1	2.46
CJ Miles	52	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-16	20	13.0	16.0	-2.98	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Tyler Dorsey	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-15	18	13.8	14.6	-0.76	17.3	14.2	3.14
Ivan Rabb	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	16.3	14.1	2.22	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Jonas Valanciunas	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	5	-22	14.7	14.3	0.39	13.0	16.6	-3.57
Justin Holiday	45	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	9	-30	14.4	14.5	-0.06	14.9	14.7	0.22
Mike Conley	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.19	-23	11	-34	15.1	13.6	1.51	13.4	16.6	-3.20
Jaren Jackson Jr.	56	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	10	-32	16.4	12.0	4.42	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Avery Bradley	58	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.08	-24	12	-36	15.7	12.7	3.07	14.2	15.7	-1.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.13	26	-14	40	14.2	15.9	-1.69	15.6	12.3	3.29
Zach LaVine	69	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-13	38	14.0	16.7	-2.66	15.5	12.0	3.47
Ryan Arcidiacono	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-8	28	14.0	16.7	-2.75	15.1	13.0	2.11
Lauri Markkanen	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	-7	26	13.7	17.7	-3.96	15.1	12.7	2.37
Otto Porter Jr.	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-9	30	15.1	14.0	1.10	14.9	13.4	1.42
Rawle Alkins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.0	14.7	2.28	11.3	14.6	-3.22
Antonio Blakeney	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.0	14.7	2.28	11.3	14.6	-3.22
Wayne Selden	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	20	-28	15.5	14.3	1.21	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Cristiano Felicio	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	24	-36	16.8	13.9	2.85	13.1	15.0	-1.96
Shaquille Harrison	33	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	22	-32	15.8	14.2	1.60	12.2	15.6	-3.42
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	35	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	25	-38	16.7	13.7	2.91	12.0	15.8	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHX 98, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DEN 114, LAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%