inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement9.8 [108] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +55.5%
Golden State Warriors 120 Comeback6.3 [431] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -18.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0.550,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.550.280.290.012282%0.592-0.041100%0.01
Justise Winslow0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.110.090.01-0.011665%0.182-0.072100%0.05
Hassan Whiteside0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.03-0.021346%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Bam Adebayo0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.080.010.05-0.02667%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Dion Waiters0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.020.08-0.07-0.001963%0.093-0.0800%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.07-0.120.03-0.021432%0.022-0.1030%-0.07
Rodney McGruder-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.040.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
James Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01617%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.02617%-0.082-0.0500%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.48,0.460.460.170.28-0.012467%0.693-0.241060%-0.02
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.400.190.21-0.002167%0.4000.001100%0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.230.23-0.040.26-0.01644%0.292-0.06475%0.07
Stephen Curry0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.020.001866%0.182-0.042100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.02387%0.0400.002100%0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.01267%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.0020%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.14-0.01345%0.023-0.21560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.624.414.826.40.737.3131.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +35.8%
GSW +41.0%
MIA -7.5%
MIA -17.4%
MIA -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game17.112.314.3120.4122.4109.3
season14.813.4106.3114.5
opponent15.014.3108.9106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.818.418.217.117.1
GSW12.911.111.813.412.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Whiteside43450.06-0.560.62-0.157-91617.316.90.3712.612.10.44
Kelly Olynyk46450.00-0.500.50-0.155-71217.416.80.6412.112.5-0.38
Justise Winslow5958-0.09-0.410.33-0.3810-122216.917.3-0.3912.911.41.46
Josh Richardson7578-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.518-101817.117.1-0.0212.113.2-1.17
Rodney McGruder3332-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-1210-2216.917.2-0.2412.312.30.04
Dion Waiters8482-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.526-81417.116.90.1712.411.80.60
James Johnson3940-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-1412-2616.717.3-0.6312.112.5-0.41
Dwyane Wade5960-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-108-1817.316.80.4611.813.1-1.33
Bam Adebayo5250-0.570.07-0.64-0.28-108-1816.917.2-0.3212.612.00.58

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaun Livingston33340.52-0.020.540.0815-132812.412.30.1616.617.3-0.74
Jonas Jerebko27280.420.080.34-0.1118-163411.112.8-1.6116.117.5-1.35
Kevon Looney43460.410.090.320.0014-122611.712.8-1.1017.117.10.03
Kevin Durant76760.390.110.270.42-13-412.212.7-0.5316.618.6-1.96
Quinn Cook26270.270.230.03-0.0611-92012.412.30.0916.817.2-0.35
DeMarcus Cousins55530.200.30-0.090.56-1214-2612.811.71.1016.817.4-0.53
Klay Thompson76760.180.32-0.140.53-1214-2612.312.30.0617.515.71.79
Stephen Curry74720.100.40-0.290.37-911-2012.412.10.3117.316.31.04
Draymond Green71700.080.42-0.340.55-1618-3412.811.11.6117.516.11.35
Alfonzo McKinnie990.040.46-0.41-0.0220212.012.3-0.3517.817.00.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.61,0.79,0.67,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 89, LAL 950.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.57,0.84,191.6%
PHI 91, ATL 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.82,190.3%
BOS 99, GSW 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.92,190.2%