NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.0 [378]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +25.1%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	5.6 [390]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -24.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.03	18	69%	0.32	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	19	49%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	41%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	11	81%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.06	-0.03	17	49%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	13	58%	0.16	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.27,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.16	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	27.3	15.6	25.3	1.7	39.3	137.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.6%

PHI -11.6%

ATL +22.0%

ATL +3.0%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.4	100.0	105.5	105.7
season	15.2	15.4		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	16.2		107.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	18.6	17.0	16.3	15.8
ATL	19.9	14.1	15.0	14.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	15.1	16.8	-1.70	16.5	14.9	1.52
Kevin Ollie	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	4	-13	21.0	15.4	5.56	13.3	16.0	-2.69
Andre Miller	78	78	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-14	23	15.2	19.2	-3.91	16.3	12.9	3.41
Samuel Dalembert	70	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-11	17	15.4	17.2	-1.80	16.5	13.5	3.00
Reggie Evans	38	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.09	-13	8	-21	17.1	14.9	2.24	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Andre Iguodala	83	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	15.4	20.4	-5.01	16.0	14.2	1.75
Thaddeus Young	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-9	13	15.6	16.1	-0.57	17.0	14.0	3.01
Rodney Carney	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	5	-15	16.5	15.4	1.03	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Lou Williams	41	39	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	14	-33	17.2	14.7	2.54	13.1	17.9	-4.80

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	51	51	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.08	23	-18	41	15.1	16.8	-1.79	17.3	13.8	3.48
Joe Johnson	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	5	-5	15.8	16.2	-0.47	15.1	18.8	-3.71
Josh Childress	67	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-5	15	15.6	16.5	-0.94	16.3	14.4	1.88
Josh Smith	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-7	19	14.8	21.5	-6.68	16.1	13.8	2.28
Zaza Pachulia	37	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-14	33	14.5	16.7	-2.20	17.1	14.7	2.40
Al Horford	53	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.52	-17	22	-39	16.9	14.4	2.54	14.7	17.1	-2.40
Anthony Johnson	29	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	13	-21	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Acie Law	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	12	-19	22.6	15.2	7.43	12.0	16.2	-4.17
Marvin Williams	60	59	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	12	-19	16.7	14.3	2.41	15.2	16.8	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.57,0.84,1	92.7%
LAC 94, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.53,1	91.2%
CLE 85, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.91,1	91.0%