NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	9.1 [161]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +43.1%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	34.8 [39]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -32.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.43	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.43	0.33	0.21	0.11	22	73%	0.53	2	-0.10	18	83%	0.12
Dennis Schroder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	13	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.06	9	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.03	9	40%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.43,-0.54,-0.33	-0.21	-0.12	-0.00	21	45%	-0.03	10	-0.30	5	80%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.03	-0.03	28	59%	0.28	5	-0.11	15	93%	0.07
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	11	63%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	20%	-0.05
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.09	-0.02	14	46%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	30.8	14.7	29.7	2.8	38.5	144.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -7.8%

OKC +22.4%

OKC +44.4%

HOU -10.7%

OKC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	12.5	15.3	14.3	113.6	107.7	109.3
season	12.9	14.8		108.9	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.3	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	12.1	10.9	15.3	12.5
HOU	15.7	13.6	17.2	14.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	89	91	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.37	16	-11	27	11.9	16.7	-4.84	15.4	14.2	1.29
Steven Adams	83	86	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.36	12	-7	19	11.3	17.5	-6.16	15.5	14.2	1.28
Deonte Burton	18	17	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-13	31	14.6	12.1	2.45	17.6	14.8	2.76
Terrance Ferguson	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-11	27	12.1	13.7	-1.59	15.8	13.9	1.85
Jerami Grant	75	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-1	7	12.8	11.8	0.98	15.3	15.1	0.18
Russell Westbrook	85	86	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	3	-1	11.6	17.1	-5.48	15.5	14.1	1.48
Dennis Schroder	46	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	17	-29	14.8	10.7	4.18	14.2	16.1	-1.98
Nerlens Noel	20	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	14	-23	17.5	11.3	6.16	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Abdel Nader	8	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	16	-27	13.0	12.5	0.51	11.3	15.7	-4.32
Patrick Patterson	15	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	18	-31	12.9	12.5	0.39	13.2	15.6	-2.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	37	36	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-13	21	14.2	15.9	-1.65	13.4	12.1	1.36
Chris Paul	76	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-15	25	15.0	16.0	-1.04	13.2	10.8	2.47
Gerald Green	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-7	9	13.2	16.0	-2.78	13.5	12.2	1.34
Austin Rivers	34	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	15.4	15.2	0.11	12.0	12.8	-0.77
James Harden	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.7	0.70	11.5	16.5	-4.95
PJ Tucker	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	2	-9	16.0	13.2	2.78	12.2	13.5	-1.34
Iman Shumpert	54	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	14.5	16.1	-1.62	13.4	11.6	1.85
Eric Gordon	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.7	0.85	12.4	12.9	-0.48
Kenneth Faried	65	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	6	-17	16.3	13.5	2.78	12.2	13.1	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.31,0.48,0.67,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 88, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.26,0.45,0.66,0.27,0	89.9%
BOS 100, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.69,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.43,0.73,0	89.1%
WAS 103, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.76,0.31,0	88.6%