NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	88		Excitement	7.7 [309]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +69.7%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	19.0 [51]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -20.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.70	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.31,0.7	0.13	0.60	0.03	24	57%	0.71	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.06
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	3	25%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.08
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.12,0,0,-0.13	0.10	-0.20	0.03	13	69%	0.01	2	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.13	0.03	15	53%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	17	68%	0.26	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.16,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	15	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.10	0.01	10	55%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.02	14	35%	-0.19	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	27.3	15.7	22.0	1.7	36.2	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +66.4%

CHA +2.6%

CHA +7.3%

ATL -28.3%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	15.5	102.3	97.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.5		102.3	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.7	16.3	17.7	15.0	16.8
ATL	15.6	14.4	19.2	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	54	55	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.26	21	-19	40	16.2	17.9	-1.70	16.8	15.5	1.31
Stephen Jackson	76	78	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.42	14	-12	26	16.8	17.1	-0.30	16.7	12.6	4.14
Eduardo Najera	54	55	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-12	26	15.7	18.7	-3.00	15.9	16.9	-1.07
Gerald Wallace	76	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-5	12	16.4	20.3	-3.92	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Nazr Mohammed	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	0	2	16.3	17.3	-0.96	16.3	16.2	0.06
D.J. Augustin	32	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.52	-17	19	-36	17.9	16.2	1.70	15.0	17.1	-2.07
Kwame Brown	39	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	17.9	15.9	1.99	16.9	15.7	1.13
Boris Diaw	39	40	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	9	-16	17.8	16.0	1.80	16.6	16.0	0.55
Gerald Henderson	20	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.15	-17	19	-36	18.7	16.3	2.43	14.9	16.7	-1.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	58	57	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.09	12	-14	26	16.5	15.9	0.57	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Jason Collins	23	24	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-11	20	16.5	16.2	0.28	20.5	15.4	5.02
Jamal Crawford	51	52	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-8	14	15.5	17.4	-1.86	15.9	18.3	-2.41
Marvin Williams	34	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	10	-22	16.9	15.9	0.99	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Al Horford	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.59	8	-10	18	15.7	20.3	-4.57	17.2	14.6	2.52
Damien Wilkins	1	0	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	0.0	16.5	-16.46	0.0	16.8	-16.84
Joe Johnson	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	16.0	17.0	-1.04	16.5	17.8	-1.29
Zaza Pachulia	40	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	11	-24	17.6	15.1	2.52	16.7	16.9	-0.24
Josh Smith	66	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	5	-12	16.7	15.0	1.64	16.4	18.2	-1.79
Maurice Evans	25	23	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	7	-16	16.2	16.3	-0.05	17.5	16.6	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.26,0.45,0.66,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 117, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.31,0.48,0.67,0.63,0	89.9%
BOS 111, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.26,0	89.7%
DET 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.15,0	89.0%