NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	5.8 [699]		MVP	Bobby Portis (WAS): +30.8%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	1.2 [1205]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -20.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	18	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	11	65%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Ante Zizic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	18	51%	0.03	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.07
Channing Frye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deng Adel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	8	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	10	65%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	15	29%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	7	0%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.07	-0.03	18	79%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	14	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	20	56%	0.10	6	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	28.0	15.5	21.5	2.5	29.5	126.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +67.3%

CLE -2.4%

CLE -13.3%

CLE -4.0%

WAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	13.0	14.3	101.0	112.3	109.3
season	15.5	13.8		106.3	109.8
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.4	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	14.0	13.1	16.0	14.3
WAS	10.7	12.7	13.5	16.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-11	9	10.6	14.4	-3.84	21.5	12.5	8.96
Kevin Love	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-11	9	15.2	14.1	1.10	11.3	13.3	-2.07
Ante Zizic	38	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	14.1	14.3	-0.24	11.9	13.6	-1.69
Deng Adel	77	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-12	11	14.8	12.7	2.06	13.5	11.9	1.63
Larry Nance Jr.	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-7	1	14.8	13.0	1.78	12.2	15.0	-2.84
Marquese Chriss	49	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-2	-9	12.9	15.5	-2.62	14.1	12.1	1.95
Collin Sexton	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	13.5	17.0	-3.53	13.2	12.3	0.92
Jordan Clarkson	67	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-8	3	13.7	15.2	-1.54	13.8	11.5	2.34
David Nwaba	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-1	-11	15.4	12.4	3.02	12.2	14.3	-2.01
Matthew Dellavedova	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-1	-11	14.6	13.9	0.75	12.6	13.5	-0.96

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	60	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-6	25	13.1	13.0	0.04	14.4	14.0	0.43
Jabari Parker	53	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.00	16	-3	19	12.2	13.9	-1.79	15.2	13.4	1.81
Bradley Beal	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-3	19	13.1	12.9	0.17	13.9	15.6	-1.73
Tomas Satoransky	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	6	1	13.4	12.1	1.35	14.8	12.9	1.91
Trevor Ariza	80	80	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	0	13	13.2	12.4	0.83	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Wesley Johnson	33	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	11.5	13.7	-2.22	15.4	13.8	1.65
Chasson Randle	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	11	-9	12.2	13.6	-1.40	13.8	14.5	-0.66
Jeff Green	56	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	11	-9	13.6	12.5	1.07	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Jordan McRae	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.3	12.9	6.47	11.0	14.3	-3.32
John Jenkins	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.3	12.9	6.47	11.0	14.3	-3.32
Thomas Bryant	43	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.18	-11	24	-35	13.5	12.8	0.70	13.5	14.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.88,0.81,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 92, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.6%
NYK 94, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%