NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	129		Excitement	10.7 [61]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): +86.0%
Boston Celtics	128		Comeback	31.3 [52]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -31.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.86	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.86	0.07	0.77	-0.02	11	77%	0.95	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.51	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.51	0.13	0.38	-0.00	21	60%	0.51	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.08	0.23	0.01	21	60%	0.44	3	-0.14	5	20%	-0.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	11	77%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	11	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.31	-0.10	-0.23	-0.02	14	32%	-0.29	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.22	0.01	14	71%	0.37	0	0.00	3	100%	0.09
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.36	0.36	-0.04	0.39	-0.01	21	46%	0.49	3	-0.13	10	100%	0.10
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	-0.00	11	91%	0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	0.00	9	86%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	10	82%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	10	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	25.3	16.3	24.6	3.3	36.4	138.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +99.7%

BOS -49.4%

LAL +1.4%

BOS -4.9%

LAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	14.3	129.0	124.3	109.3
season	13.5	13.9		107.2	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.2		106.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	14.3	13.5	15.8	14.7
BOS	11.1	12.9	15.8	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	84	88	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.52	18	-17	35	13.8	19.4	-5.55	13.8	12.7	1.11
Tyson Chandler	33	34	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.33	19	-18	37	13.2	15.4	-2.24	13.5	13.8	-0.22
LeBron James	77	80	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.53	11	-10	21	14.3	16.0	-1.68	14.1	12.3	1.71
Kyle Kuzma	70	72	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.75	-1	2	-3	15.0	14.0	1.06	13.8	13.3	0.56
Rajon Rondo	73	74	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.51	-9	10	-19	15.6	12.3	3.36	13.3	14.7	-1.36
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	47	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	-2	5	14.1	15.2	-1.14	14.3	13.1	1.18
Josh Hart	18	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	11	-21	17.6	14.1	3.47	11.3	14.2	-2.91
Lance Stephenson	37	38	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.23	-5	6	-11	13.9	15.2	-1.30	13.2	14.0	-0.83
JaVale McGee	61	60	-0.79	1.29	-2.08	-0.17	-21	22	-43	15.9	12.8	3.06	13.8	13.5	0.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	46	45	0.59	-1.09	1.69	0.18	14	-15	29	13.9	13.5	0.46	16.4	13.3	3.07
Terry Rozier	42	38	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.09	14	-15	29	13.5	13.8	-0.34	16.6	13.6	3.01
Jaylen Brown	53	50	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.10	13	-14	27	13.9	13.5	0.43	15.9	13.5	2.34
Gordon Hayward	55	53	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.25	17	-18	35	12.9	14.6	-1.65	15.6	13.7	1.82
Jayson Tatum	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	1	-3	13.9	12.9	1.02	15.4	12.7	2.69
Marcus Smart	53	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	14	-29	13.8	13.5	0.35	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Kyrie Irving	79	75	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.44	-16	15	-31	13.9	12.8	1.10	13.6	18.1	-4.49
Marcus Morris	54	55	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.65	-15	14	-29	13.5	13.9	-0.38	13.4	16.4	-2.99
Al Horford	57	55	-1.09	0.59	-1.69	-0.65	-15	14	-29	13.5	13.9	-0.46	13.3	16.4	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.74,0	90.1%
LAL 111, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,0	89.3%
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	88.6%