inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 110 Excitement9.6 [122] MVPBojan Bogdanovic (IND): +37.6%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback8.3 [174] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -23.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0.380,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.380.090.300.01980%0.422-0.04250%-0.01
Domantas Sabonis0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.100.090.00777%0.272-0.09862%-0.03
Cory Joseph0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.030.017100%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Darren Collison0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.10.050.04-0.001061%0.161-0.06862%-0.03
Doug McDermott0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001150%0.051-0.0200%0.00
TJ Leaf-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03237%-0.023-0.04425%-0.05
Victor Oladipo-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06-0.01-0.020.042245%-0.031-0.03560%-0.02
Myles Turner-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00944%0.013-0.0800%0.00
Tyreke Evans-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.08-0.021036%-0.044-0.132100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.140.090.00887%0.281-0.04771%0.04
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.00671%0.0900.00250%-0.02
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001100%0.051-0.021100%0.01
Duncan Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.001150%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00437%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.04-0.021746%0.146-0.25580%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.060.01852%0.014-0.13520%-0.12
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.10-0.001254%0.055-0.19450%-0.04
Justise Winslow0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,-0.24-0.24-0.08-0.17-0.011338%-0.183-0.06367%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.12.533.514.431.63.441.5155.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +55.2%
MIA -3.6%
MIA -25.0%
IND +27.9%
MIA -4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game13.014.914.3106.899.0109.3
season14.514.8108.4106.3
opponent14.314.6106.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.813.511.113.713.0
MIA15.013.616.614.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myles Turner50490.90-0.401.290.3120-123212.513.5-1.0316.613.53.09
Cory Joseph71700.89-0.391.290.4216-82412.015.2-3.1815.014.80.26
Bojan Bogdanovic63630.73-0.230.960.3513-51812.314.2-1.8716.013.22.79
Victor Oladipo79770.62-0.120.750.1815-72212.614.3-1.6515.612.92.69
Darren Collison79770.52-0.020.530.1911-31412.813.7-0.8315.313.81.45
Thaddeus Young3535-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-19-1013.612.70.9115.614.60.97
TJ Leaf1617-0.140.64-0.790.06-715-2213.712.90.7811.715.6-3.86
Tyreke Evans3740-0.240.74-0.98-0.00-816-2414.812.12.7013.615.8-2.22
Doug McDermott3233-0.290.79-1.08-0.09-715-2215.112.13.0012.915.9-3.02
Domantas Sabonis5354-0.400.90-1.29-0.04-1220-3213.512.51.0313.516.6-3.09

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Jones Jr.57550.18-0.680.860.24-2-6414.215.8-1.6212.913.1-0.22
Duncan Robinson11120.15-0.650.800.034-121613.815.1-1.2515.612.72.89
Bam Adebayo17170.08-0.580.650.022-101212.215.5-3.3013.213.00.18
Tyler Johnson74730.01-0.510.530.04-1-7614.715.5-0.8112.314.7-2.36
Kelly Olynyk5047-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-101214.115.7-1.6212.413.6-1.23
Hassan Whiteside6869-0.24-0.260.03-0.271-91015.613.62.0213.711.71.98
Josh Richardson6161-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-6414.415.7-1.2814.211.32.90
Wayne Ellington4750-0.560.06-0.63-0.39-6-2-415.514.51.0313.212.80.37
Justise Winslow5959-0.850.35-1.20-0.32-1810-2816.013.52.5012.314.0-1.66
Rodney McGruder7172-0.900.40-1.31-0.32-2012-3215.713.22.4912.614.0-1.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 88, NYK 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.84,092.0%
LAL 111, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,091.9%
UTA 99, LAC 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,091.2%