NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.8 [164]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +19.3%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	23.4 [33]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -23.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.19	0.00	0.17	-0.02	14	55%	0.27	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	81%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.06	0.01	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	41%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	6	39%	-0.13	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.11	0.01	16	34%	-0.15	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	14	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jamison Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.00	17	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	14	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.4	15.6	22.9	2.4	33.4	129.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.6%

CHI +3.9%

CHI +61.2%

NYK -42.3%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.5	96.7	94.5	104.0
season	15.1	15.8		100.1	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.5	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	16.0	16.0	16.1	15.9
NYK	14.5	16.7	16.0	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	71	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-5	12	16.2	15.0	1.15	16.3	13.9	2.37
Andres Nocioni	43	46	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-2	6	15.9	15.9	0.06	16.0	15.4	0.60
Ben Gordon	39	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	1	0	15.1	16.5	-1.49	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Tyson Chandler	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-2	6	15.1	16.9	-1.82	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Kirk Hinrich	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	0	2	16.3	12.7	3.59	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Chris Duhon	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	0	2	15.5	16.2	-0.64	16.3	15.4	0.88
Adrian Griffin	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	13.0	16.3	-3.30	11.6	16.3	-4.66
Othella Harrington	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	18.0	15.2	2.77	17.0	15.4	1.59
Eddy Curry	76	74	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	3	-4	16.0	15.4	0.60	15.6	16.3	-0.67
Eric Piatkowski	23	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.21	-1	3	-4	16.7	15.6	1.06	16.6	15.5	1.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	36	37	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	14.4	16.6	-2.25	15.0	16.5	-1.56
Jerome Williams	53	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-6	10	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.2	15.5	0.74
Tim Thomas	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	17.6	15.6	2.06	15.1	16.0	-0.82
Nazr Mohammed	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	16.3	15.1	1.15	16.5	15.3	1.22
Jamison Brewer	19	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	5	-12	18.2	15.1	3.11	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Michael Sweetney	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	15.3	16.3	-1.01	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Allan Houston	43	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	3	-8	17.2	14.5	2.68	17.2	14.7	2.52
Jamal Crawford	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	14.7	17.1	-2.37	15.3	16.6	-1.34
Stephon Marbury	77	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-1	0	15.3	18.0	-2.66	15.6	18.0	-2.42
Kurt Thomas	71	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.1	14.6	1.47	16.1	15.1	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	92.0%
POR 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.63,0	91.3%
LAL 111, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,0	91.1%