NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	129		Excitement	7.6 [370]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +29.4%
Boston Celtics	134		Comeback	1.4 [822]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): -9.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.22	0.11	0.11	0.01	8	71%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Paul George	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.13	-0.02	0.01	27	56%	0.17	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Nerlens Noel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Hamidou Diallo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	19	48%	0.14	4	-0.23	8	62%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.24,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.16	0.01	19	77%	0.42	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	11	75%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	13	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	66%	0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	8	56%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	23%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	25.5	15.4	24.7	3.4	40.3	136.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.9%

OKC -16.0%

OKC -2.6%

BOS +10.8%

BOS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	12.8	14.0	14.3	120.6	124.1	109.3
season	12.9	13.9		108.9	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.9		106.3	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.3	13.6	13.5	10.8	12.8
BOS	12.4	15.1	14.2	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	33	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-10	15	13.9	12.2	1.71	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Nerlens Noel	24	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.9	12.1	2.73	13.6	14.2	-0.63
Hamidou Diallo	21	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-5	5	14.0	12.4	1.61	15.2	13.7	1.46
Dennis Schroder	52	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-13	21	13.2	12.3	0.92	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Terrance Ferguson	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	7	-19	13.0	12.2	0.79	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Paul George	88	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	1	-7	12.7	13.2	-0.49	14.1	13.8	0.29
Russell Westbrook	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	0	-5	12.0	15.4	-3.41	14.4	12.8	1.54
Steven Adams	83	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	12.1	14.9	-2.73	14.2	13.6	0.63
Jerami Grant	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	5	-15	12.2	13.9	-1.71	14.2	13.6	0.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-7	19	14.3	13.5	0.77	12.1	13.9	-1.76
Al Horford	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-1	7	14.1	13.8	0.28	12.4	13.5	-1.16
Marcus Smart	62	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	14.4	13.5	0.88	12.5	13.2	-0.76
Kyrie Irving	84	83	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	13.7	15.1	-1.36	12.5	13.6	-1.12
Gordon Hayward	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	14.2	13.9	0.29	14.8	11.1	3.65
Marcus Morris	78	77	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	14.1	13.8	0.36	12.2	14.2	-2.05
Jaylen Brown	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	10	-15	13.5	14.5	-0.94	12.8	12.7	0.05
Daniel Theis	40	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.14	-1	6	-7	13.8	14.1	-0.28	13.5	12.4	1.16
Terry Rozier	37	36	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	8	-11	13.8	14.1	-0.29	13.6	12.3	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.78,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	93.0%
TOR 87, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
PHI 98, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.86,0.96,1	92.7%