NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	4.8 [889]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +29.2%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.1 [1201]		LVP	Sonny Weems (TOR): -8.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	39%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	17	47%	0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sonny Weems	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	14	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.27	0.09	0.06	21	82%	0.35	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	14	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	27.5	15.6	26.1	1.8	29.2	127.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.3%

TOR -11.4%

ATL +1.3%

TOR -2.5%

ATL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.5	100.0	116.3	105.7
season	15.1	16.5		104.7	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.0	15.4	16.2	15.6
ATL	16.3	16.0	18.2	20.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Johnson	12	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-18	23	12.2	16.1	-3.90	24.5	16.5	8.06
Alexis Ajinca	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	15.7	15.6	0.06	20.4	17.5	2.97
Julian Wright	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-16	19	15.5	15.7	-0.18	17.3	17.8	-0.57
Jerryd Bayless	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-9	5	14.3	16.3	-1.95	16.5	18.3	-1.83
Ed Davis	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-10	7	14.8	16.2	-1.34	18.8	16.9	1.91
Andrea Bargnani	56	56	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	3	-19	16.8	13.5	3.25	16.4	20.1	-3.74
Jose Calderon	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	15.7	15.1	0.68	18.2	15.9	2.29
Amir Johnson	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.1	18.7	-3.55	17.9	16.6	1.28
DeMar DeRozan	61	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-1	-11	16.1	14.4	1.69	16.8	20.2	-3.44
Sonny Weems	66	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	8	-29	16.2	13.7	2.56	17.4	18.6	-1.20

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	72	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-5	23	17.4	19.4	-1.98	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Josh Smith	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-6	25	17.2	20.6	-3.44	16.7	9.6	7.05
Mike Bibby	45	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	17.0	18.5	-1.51	15.9	15.3	0.53
Al Horford	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	17.6	18.1	-0.52	14.9	18.1	-3.30
Maurice Evans	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	5	3	16.8	18.9	-2.14	16.1	15.1	1.01
Zaza Pachulia	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	16	-19	18.9	17.1	1.85	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Damien Wilkins	25	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	20.0	16.7	3.30	15.7	15.6	0.14
Jamal Crawford	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	15	-17	17.2	17.9	-0.71	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Jeff Teague	20	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	18	-23	18.0	17.6	0.46	16.1	15.5	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 82, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 82, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%