NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	5.7 [727]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +15.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.6 [997]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -10.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.00	25	61%	0.19	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Ryan Broekhoff	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	117%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	58%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daryl Macon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	7	50%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Deng Adel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	17	34%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	25.2	14.7	32.3	2.3	31.5	133.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +61.5%

CLE -4.0%

DAL +1.2%

CLE -9.5%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	14.3	116.8	102.1	109.3
season	14.7	15.5		108.5	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.1		116.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	16.7	13.3	16.9	15.3
CLE	12.9	15.3	14.4	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	44	44	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.08	16	-3	19	15.8	14.9	0.87	16.7	13.3	3.37
Devin Harris	38	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	2	9	15.8	15.0	0.85	15.6	14.4	1.24
Jalen Brunson	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-1	15	14.4	17.3	-2.89	15.2	14.1	1.05
Ryan Broekhoff	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	7	-1	15.9	14.5	1.39	15.2	14.3	0.95
Harrison Barnes	73	75	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	14.9	16.5	-1.55	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Luka Doncic	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	5	3	15.5	14.8	0.79	14.1	16.5	-2.33
Dirk Nowitzki	18	17	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	16.6	15.0	1.61	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Dorian Finney-Smith	57	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	11	-9	15.0	15.8	-0.85	14.4	15.6	-1.24
Daryl Macon	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	20.5	15.2	5.31	16.0	14.8	1.18
Maxi Kleber	55	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	14	-15	15.0	15.7	-0.77	13.9	16.2	-2.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaron Blossomgame	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	16.0	14.8	1.18	18.0	15.2	2.78
Kobi Simmons	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	16.0	14.8	1.18	18.0	15.2	2.78
Cedi Osman	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-7	1	13.5	15.5	-1.97	15.8	15.1	0.72
David Nwaba	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-6	-1	14.3	15.1	-0.86	13.7	16.1	-2.42
Ante Zizic	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-10	7	13.9	15.6	-1.67	13.9	16.5	-2.60
Collin Sexton	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-8	3	15.0	14.6	0.37	14.5	16.7	-2.14
Rodney Hood	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	14.0	16.6	-2.55	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Deng Adel	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-12	11	16.2	14.3	1.89	15.7	15.2	0.50
Matthew Dellavedova	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-1	-11	14.6	15.0	-0.47	17.3	14.1	3.22
Jordan Clarkson	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.9	13.4	2.48	16.4	13.7	2.65
Larry Nance Jr.	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	15.6	13.9	1.67	16.5	13.9	2.60
Alec Burks	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	0	-13	15.1	14.3	0.78	14.4	17.5	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	94.6%
LAL 89, CLE 76	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.4%
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%