inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement7.5 [394] MVPMalik Beasley (DEN): +37.7%
New Orleans Pelicans 99 Comeback1.6 [979] LVPJahlil Okafor (NOP): -17.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Beasley0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.180.19-0.001476%0.3800.0010%-0.01
Monte Morris0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.020.011280%0.1900.001100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.10.050.060.001659%0.162-0.062100%0.01
Paul Millsap0.030,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011054%0.061-0.03475%-0.01
Mason Plumlee0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01656%0.061-0.05475%0.01
Will Barton0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01938%0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Juancho Hernangomez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00629%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Gary Harris-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.021430%-0.072-0.05250%-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.120.09-0.011475%0.282-0.0600%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.170.170.060.08-0.021369%0.234-0.06683%0.01
Darius Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.030.030.04-0.010.001352%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Frank Jackson0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02950%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.040.00440%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Cheick Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.00737%-0.0700.0020%-0.07
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.05-0.03933%0.012-0.1000%0.00
Jahlil Okafor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.120.001547%-0.083-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.424.014.625.21.830.1123.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.4%
DEN +11.6%
NOP -5.4%
DEN +14.3%
DEN +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOPNBADENNOPNBA
this game14.814.414.3106.1101.0109.3
season14.813.4112.0110.2
opponent14.214.6111.5108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.715.414.016.414.8
NOP14.013.417.313.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic78760.86-0.361.220.3617-112814.217.3-3.1114.713.31.45
Gary Harris72700.76-0.261.010.3713-72014.515.8-1.2914.115.2-1.09
Monte Morris83820.72-0.220.950.2516-102614.118.7-4.5914.911.92.94
Paul Millsap70670.72-0.220.950.4011-51614.814.9-0.0814.414.30.11
Malik Beasley60600.320.180.150.3206-614.914.70.2814.214.7-0.51
Torrey Craig14140.020.48-0.470.0206-615.414.80.6016.614.02.54
Juancho Hernangomez1010-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-17-815.614.80.8513.114.5-1.45
Brandon Goodwin44-0.070.57-0.630.05-410-1421.214.66.6812.214.5-2.24
Will Barton5454-0.220.72-0.95-0.05-612-1815.614.01.6214.114.7-0.60
Mason Plumlee2931-0.220.72-0.95-0.08-511-1614.914.80.0814.314.4-0.11
Trey Lyles2122-0.360.86-1.22-0.04-1117-2817.314.23.1113.314.7-1.45

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cheick Diallo34330.12-0.620.74-0.035-111615.313.91.3715.514.50.92
Ian Clark41400.08-0.580.65-0.106-121814.514.40.1115.314.50.86
Frank Jackson4748-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-2-213.914.9-0.9714.415.3-0.94
Solomon Hill3939-0.23-0.270.040.00-82-1014.414.4-0.0214.814.80.01
Tim Frazier4041-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.250-6615.113.91.1915.714.21.44
Darius Miller7476-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.30-1-5414.514.00.4714.715.2-0.44
Kenrich Williams7676-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.31-1-5414.215.2-1.0714.914.50.47
Jahlil Okafor6466-0.620.12-0.74-0.30-115-1613.915.3-1.3714.515.5-0.92
Jrue Holiday7576-0.760.26-1.01-0.29-1610-2614.414.30.1814.416.3-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.07,0.1,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 100, BOS 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,093.7%
DET 78, HOU 700.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,093.0%
IND 112, DAL 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.11,0.22,0.02,0,092.5%