NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	6.8 [465]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.2%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.4 [653]		LVP	Deron Williams (DAL): -12.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.00	10	67%	0.33	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.07	-0.03	13	59%	0.20	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	16	53%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Ian Mahinmi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.16	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.11	0.03	16	75%	0.30	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	8	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	13	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	30.4	15.6	28.2	2.4	37.3	138.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.1%

IND +29.6%

IND +1.8%

IND +3.8%

DAL -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.9	114.3	107.1	105.1
season	14.6	15.5		103.2	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		106.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	14.7	13.0	17.0	14.8
DAL	15.5	15.9	14.7	12.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	78	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-10	27	13.5	19.7	-6.25	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Paul George	78	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-10	27	13.5	19.7	-6.25	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Ian Mahinmi	64	63	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.31	13	-6	19	13.3	17.5	-4.17	15.3	13.5	1.80
Myles Turner	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-5	17	12.9	16.0	-3.16	16.2	13.5	2.72
George Hill	71	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	15.5	12.7	2.81	15.2	13.1	2.04
Solomon Hill	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	9	-11	16.1	13.8	2.31	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Lavoy Allen	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.5	1.30	12.0	15.2	-3.24
Rodney Stuckey	47	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.7	13.9	1.82	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Jordan Hill	33	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	15	-23	17.6	13.4	4.22	13.8	15.0	-1.24
CJ Miles	20	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	17	-27	19.7	13.5	6.25	15.7	14.3	1.43

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	13.9	15.0	-1.16	16.2	14.0	2.20
David Lee	43	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	13.6	15.4	-1.84	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Devin Harris	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-4	1	13.1	15.4	-2.29	16.9	13.6	3.33
Jose Juan Barea	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	12.9	16.2	-3.28	16.3	13.3	3.02
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	17.5	13.1	4.42	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Dirk Nowitzki	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	14.2	15.7	-1.56	15.3	13.2	2.12
Chandler Parsons	81	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	1	-9	15.1	12.2	2.95	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Wesley Matthews	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	15.1	13.0	2.19	13.8	17.9	-4.10
Deron Williams	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	3	-13	15.4	12.9	2.55	13.5	17.5	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.11,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,0	93.6%
DEN 105, NOP 99	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.07,0.1,0.08,0	92.5%
IND 101, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.13,0.02,0.01,0	92.4%