NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	8.1 [297]		MVP	Shabazz Napier (BKN): +28.1%
Brooklyn Nets	122		Comeback	2.7 [730]		LVP	Rodions Kurucs (BKN): -13.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	15	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	15	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zach LaVine	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	20	59%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.12	6	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Wayne Selden	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.19	0.02	17	60%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Joe Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	11	63%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.12	0.04	22	56%	0.19	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	48%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	69%	0.14	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	58%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	11	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	26.2	14.7	29.1	1.6	36.4	133.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +15.8%

BKN +9.3%

CHI -3.5%

BKN +26.9%

BKN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	13.0	12.7	14.3	104.5	108.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	12.0	13.3	12.5	13.0
BKN	11.8	13.7	13.3	11.9	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Blakeney	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	11.1	13.4	-2.37	12.0	12.8	-0.79
Wayne Selden	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-11	17	13.5	12.3	1.18	12.5	12.8	-0.30
Bobby Portis	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	11.7	14.5	-2.85	12.5	12.9	-0.42
Robin Lopez	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	1	-7	14.5	12.1	2.36	12.9	12.5	0.42
Kris Dunn	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-4	3	13.6	12.0	1.60	12.8	12.4	0.36
Ryan Arcidiacono	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	12.2	13.5	-1.24	13.3	12.3	0.98
Lauri Markkanen	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.0	11.5	2.51	12.3	13.2	-0.84
Zach LaVine	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	13.5	11.8	1.67	12.6	13.0	-0.41
Jabari Parker	54	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	11.9	14.1	-2.12	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Shaquille Harrison	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	7	-19	12.5	13.7	-1.20	13.2	12.1	1.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	12.1	13.4	-1.30	11.5	15.2	-3.77
Jarrett Allen	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	12.4	13.1	-0.78	13.7	12.0	1.67
D'Angelo Russell	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	12.5	13.1	-0.59	13.4	12.1	1.32
Treveon Graham	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-1	7	12.2	13.3	-1.11	13.6	12.2	1.49
Shabazz Napier	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-4	13	12.6	12.8	-0.20	11.8	14.5	-2.65
Joe Harris	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	4	-3	12.3	13.5	-1.22	13.6	11.9	1.68
Ed Davis	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	4	-3	13.9	12.1	1.81	12.0	13.6	-1.54
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	49	50	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	13.5	12.0	1.42	12.3	13.6	-1.31
Rodions Kurucs	51	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	12	-19	13.6	11.9	1.76	14.8	11.4	3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.64,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1	93.3%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.0%
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%