NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	138		Excitement	12.9 [18]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +34.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	128		Comeback	4.1 [61]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -26.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.20	0.02	20	74%	0.45	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.16	0.02	14	84%	0.50	4	-0.21	3	67%	-0.03
Josh Hart	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	6	71%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	7	93%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.02	17	53%	0.07	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	6	38%	-0.02	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	9	33%	-0.11	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	-0.00	4	100%	0.22	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Steven Adams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	9	71%	0.17	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.05	-0.01	13	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.10	-0.04	19	61%	0.19	3	-0.17	6	67%	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.24,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.07	-0.00	30	37%	0.06	3	-0.12	10	70%	0.20
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.10	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	31.1	14.7	29.8	3.0	37.0	1.8	13.2	159.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +93.3%

OKC -42.1%

LAL +34.5%

OKC -31.8%

OKC -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.3	117.9	114.3	109.3
season	13.5	12.9		107.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.2		106.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.6	12.3	13.9	14.9	15.3	14.2
OKC	13.7	13.9	13.3	13.4	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	62	60	1.33	-0.83	2.16	0.31	35	-25	60	14.2	14.3	-0.15	12.9	14.3	-1.42
Josh Hart	74	70	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.08	23	-13	36	14.6	13.7	0.92	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Lance Stephenson	33	31	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-11	32	12.1	15.1	-2.94	13.3	13.6	-0.33
Moritz Wagner	17	17	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-1	12	12.1	14.6	-2.54	13.1	13.6	-0.55
Kyle Kuzma	82	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	14	-18	14.2	14.3	-0.04	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Svi Mykhailiuk	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	-4	18	13.2	14.9	-1.69	12.6	14.1	-1.41
Lonzo Ball	71	68	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.45	-12	22	-34	14.7	13.6	1.10	14.1	12.7	1.35
Brandon Ingram	81	77	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.36	-9	19	-28	14.9	12.7	2.18	13.7	13.1	0.60
Michael Beasley	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	4	2	16.3	13.8	2.48	14.2	13.4	0.83
JaVale McGee	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	19	-28	14.6	14.2	0.38	13.6	13.5	0.06
Tyson Chandler	36	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.18	-13	23	-36	14.1	14.3	-0.21	14.7	13.0	1.66
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	50	48	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	-0.33	-13	23	-36	14.4	14.1	0.33	14.2	13.0	1.19

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	86	91	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-20	30	13.6	13.2	0.44	14.4	13.8	0.59
Abdel Nader	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.20	-10	0	-10	13.2	13.6	-0.35	15.2	14.0	1.28
Patrick Patterson	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	1	-12	13.8	13.5	0.29	15.5	14.0	1.53
Paul George	90	94	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-14	18	13.9	12.1	1.79	14.4	13.5	0.94
Russell Westbrook	92	97	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-15	20	13.4	13.9	-0.52	14.2	14.5	-0.39
Dennis Schroder	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	2	-14	13.3	13.6	-0.33	14.2	14.2	0.03
Hamidou Diallo	26	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	4	-18	11.9	14.0	-2.14	13.3	14.5	-1.26
Terrance Ferguson	78	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-10	10	13.6	13.4	0.12	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Nerlens Noel	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	10	-30	13.2	13.6	-0.44	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Jerami Grant	81	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-8	6	13.9	12.7	1.17	13.9	15.1	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.35,0.67,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.21,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	88.4%
WAS 125, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.15,0	88.3%
NJN 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	88.1%