NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	125		Excitement	15.3 [8]		MVP	Markieff Morris (WAS): +101.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	10.7 [124]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -58.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	1.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.55,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.81,1.01	0.25	0.80	0.03	15	82%	1.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.20	0.34	0.00	13	81%	0.53	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	25	49%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	10	55%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	30%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	16	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
John Wall	-0.59	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.53,-0.59	-0.18	-0.41	-0.00	19	33%	-0.47	4	-0.12	11	55%	-0.19

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.27	-0.01	10	68%	0.42	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	8	89%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.05
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	16	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jake Layman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.21,-0.32	-0.32	-0.02	-0.29	0.02	21	51%	-0.06	5	-0.26	15	87%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.28,-0.5,-0.65,-0.55	-0.55	-0.22	-0.35	-0.01	25	25%	-0.35	2	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	30.5	14.8	26.6	1.8	32.2	2.4	14.4	151.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +98.5%

POR -10.7%

POR -100.7%

WAS +58.5%

WAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	13.0	13.3	14.3	105.0	101.6	109.3
season	13.8	14.9		109.8	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.3		109.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	13.7	12.0	11.9	15.0	13.5	13.0
POR	13.5	12.4	12.9	15.0	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	92	94	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.59	6	-5	11	12.6	14.4	-1.81	12.9	15.0	-2.15
Bradley Beal	98	100	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-6	13	13.0	13.4	-0.47	13.2	14.0	-0.74
Markieff Morris	59	62	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.58	-2	3	-5	12.6	13.5	-0.92	12.5	14.2	-1.72
John Wall	93	94	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	-1	3	13.0	13.1	-0.09	13.2	13.9	-0.76
Otto Porter Jr.	97	101	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.44	-3	4	-7	13.0	13.3	-0.34	13.6	12.2	1.39
Ian Mahinmi	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	17.1	12.8	4.36	15.9	13.2	2.71
Austin Rivers	46	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.18	7	-6	13	13.6	12.7	0.92	14.5	12.6	1.83
Jeff Green	51	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	-2	5	13.6	12.6	1.06	14.3	12.6	1.71
Jason Smith	28	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	12.5	13.2	-0.76	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Tomas Satoransky	24	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.11	-11	12	-23	13.5	12.9	0.63	13.1	13.4	-0.28

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	40	39	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.13	-3	2	-5	13.1	13.5	-0.33	13.1	13.0	0.01
Zach Collins	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	0	-1	13.6	13.2	0.44	12.5	13.4	-0.89
Evan Turner	46	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-7	13	13.3	13.4	-0.10	13.2	13.0	0.19
Jake Layman	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	5	-11	14.1	13.1	1.04	12.1	13.3	-1.20
Jusuf Nurkic	72	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-2	3	13.2	13.5	-0.26	13.7	12.2	1.49
Nik Stauskas	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-1	1	13.8	12.8	1.07	13.3	12.8	0.48
CJ McCollum	90	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	13.1	14.1	-0.97	13.1	13.0	0.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	84	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	2	-5	13.2	13.7	-0.49	12.8	13.6	-0.87
Maurice Harkless	43	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	3	-7	13.5	13.2	0.29	13.4	12.8	0.56
Damian Lillard	95	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.56	1	-2	3	13.1	14.1	-0.98	13.0	13.3	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	89.8%
DAL 114, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,0	89.1%
LAL 120, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.4,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.26,0.46,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.27,0	88.8%