NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	113		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +74.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	39.2 [36]		LVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): -16.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.75	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.04,0.5,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75	0.27	0.54	0.06	20	75%	0.89	2	-0.15	13	85%	0.03
Josh Boone	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.20	0.25	0.00	10	100%	0.46	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.07	0.27	-0.01	9	57%	0.34	0	0.00	10	100%	0.21
Antoine Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.06
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	8	31%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.25	0.03	13	69%	0.34	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	19	67%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	5	80%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	-0.04	0.16	-0.02	12	50%	0.26	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	11	32%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.4	15.7	26.2	2.6	39.6	1.7	21.2	161.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +4.2%

NJN +38.3%

NJN +17.7%

CHA -14.8%

NJN +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.9	15.4	120.2	113.8	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	20.1	15.0	17.8	15.7	15.6	16.9
CHA	15.9	16.3	17.4	18.6	16.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	41	43	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.59	17	-11	28	15.4	18.1	-2.69	19.2	15.1	4.13
Richard Jefferson	72	72	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.39	12	-6	18	16.7	17.5	-0.81	16.6	18.1	-1.55
Jason Kidd	78	77	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-5	16	17.1	15.7	1.37	16.5	19.1	-2.58
Vince Carter	81	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	4	-2	17.4	13.5	3.88	16.7	18.5	-1.71
Antoine Wright	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	11	-16	15.9	17.8	-1.86	17.8	16.1	1.72
Eddie House	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	15.5	17.1	-1.56	13.2	17.6	-4.39
Hassan Adams	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	6	-6	3.0	17.0	-14.03	0.0	16.9	-16.95
Bostjan Nachbar	40	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	6	-6	15.9	17.6	-1.71	16.5	17.3	-0.78
Marcus Williams	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.20	2	4	-2	16.0	17.2	-1.20	20.3	15.7	4.54
Mikki Moore	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.07	-9	15	-24	18.3	15.8	2.46	15.2	18.3	-3.08
Jason Collins	32	31	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.22	-4	10	-14	19.8	15.4	4.44	16.9	17.0	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	23	23	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.07	7	-13	20	17.5	16.8	0.70	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Alan Anderson	35	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.18	8	-14	22	14.9	18.2	-3.28	14.2	18.3	-4.07
Othella Harrington	7	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	21.4	16.6	4.84	11.4	17.2	-5.79
Ryan Hollins	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-2	-2	17.0	16.9	0.06	12.3	17.0	-4.70
Adam Morrison	81	85	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-6	6	17.2	15.2	2.08	17.3	13.2	4.05
Jeff McInnis	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-8	10	18.2	16.4	1.82	16.9	16.9	-0.04
Jake Voskuhl	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	3	-12	17.2	16.4	0.82	17.5	15.5	2.02
Walter Herrmann	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	0	-6	17.3	15.6	1.71	17.6	13.8	3.84
Brevin Knight	66	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	4	-14	16.1	18.9	-2.72	16.9	16.9	0.04
Matt Carroll	85	85	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.42	-16	10	-26	16.7	19.2	-2.52	17.0	15.8	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 112, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.06,0.09,0	91.4%
SAC 105, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	89.2%
OKC 109, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.28,0.09,0,0	89.1%