NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	10.0 [91]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +45.8%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	4.0 [471]		LVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): -37.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.46	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.46	0.11	0.34	-0.01	8	75%	0.46	0	0.00	4	100%	0.11
Devin Booker	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.18	0.02	21	59%	0.41	6	-0.21	9	67%	-0.01
Josh Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	4	87%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	15	42%	0.01	3	-0.15	13	85%	0.07
T.J. Warren	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.21,-0.38	-0.07	-0.30	0.00	16	34%	-0.21	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.01,0.36	0.36	0.01	0.36	0.01	8	56%	0.40	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.18	0.01	19	55%	0.25	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	7	93%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	11	62%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.12	0.00	3	43%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	60%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	15	41%	-0.01	4	-0.14	9	67%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.7	15.7	29.2	2.3	35.0	138.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.9%

PHX -14.0%

PHX -26.8%

TOR +30.6%

TOR +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	14.3	109.0	112.1	109.3
season	14.4	14.3		104.8	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.0		105.9	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.1	15.6	12.3	11.6	14.0
TOR	14.2	15.7	14.9	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	13	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-5	8	11.5	14.3	-2.79	15.0	15.0	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.4	1.69	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Elie Okobo	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	1	-4	14.6	13.7	0.92	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Mikal Bridges	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	13.4	14.9	-1.55	15.7	13.8	1.85
Richaun Holmes	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Josh Jackson	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	0	-2	14.6	13.6	1.02	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Deandre Ayton	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	13.8	14.4	-0.59	15.5	13.7	1.78
Devin Booker	73	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.49	2	-4	6	13.9	14.1	-0.24	15.2	14.5	0.67
Kelly Oubre Jr.	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.49	-2	0	-2	13.4	15.0	-1.62	15.5	14.2	1.31
T.J. Warren	84	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	4	-10	14.3	12.2	2.12	14.8	15.7	-0.89

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	84	84	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-9	20	15.0	15.0	-0.02	14.0	14.1	-0.11
CJ Miles	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-3	8	14.9	15.0	-0.19	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Danny Green	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	-1	4	15.2	14.8	0.41	14.2	13.7	0.51
Chris Boucher	12	13	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	-3	8	12.7	15.3	-2.63	12.3	14.2	-1.91
Norman Powell	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	14.3	15.5	-1.20	13.7	14.2	-0.56
Serge Ibaka	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	1	0	15.2	14.5	0.72	14.3	13.4	0.83
Pascal Siakam	68	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	5	-8	15.1	14.6	0.53	14.0	14.0	0.00
Delon Wright	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	0	2	14.4	15.3	-0.94	14.1	13.9	0.13
Fred VanVleet	62	64	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	9	-16	15.3	14.4	0.87	14.0	14.0	-0.05
Greg Monroe	23	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.8	0.65	14.1	13.9	0.16
Patrick McCaw	11	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	12	-22	16.3	14.8	1.45	14.2	13.9	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.86,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.57,1	90.2%
ATL 101, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.42,1	90.0%
NYK 88, BKN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1	89.8%