NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	John Salmons (PHI): +16.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.5 [845]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -11.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	21	60%	0.22	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
John Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	17	58%	0.19	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	16	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Esteban Batista	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	5	79%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.02	0.02	30	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.1,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	23	52%	0.17	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.14
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.01	5	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.07
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.7	25.2	16.5	26.3	2.5	34.4	127.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -35.8%

PHI +16.7%

PHI +29.2%

PHI +25.6%

PHI +14.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	15.8	15.6	108.6	115.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		103.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.3	16.5	12.7	16.3	15.4
PHI	13.1	17.0	16.8	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	30	30	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-12	19	14.9	15.6	-0.72	16.0	15.6	0.32
Royal Ivey	17	19	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	15.8	15.3	0.53	18.4	15.1	3.30
Josh Smith	66	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-12	19	15.6	14.8	0.86	17.1	11.9	5.19
John Thomas	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-3	1	13.3	15.7	-2.36	17.5	15.5	1.94
Esteban Batista	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	5	-15	19.2	14.9	4.30	14.5	15.9	-1.47
Josh Childress	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-8	11	15.7	14.2	1.48	15.9	15.1	0.85
Salim Stoudamire	22	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-4	3	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Al Harrington	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	15.4	15.2	0.20	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Joe Johnson	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-6	7	15.6	15.0	0.54	15.8	15.6	0.16
Marvin Williams	36	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	11	-27	14.3	16.1	-1.72	13.8	17.0	-3.19
Tyronn Lue	63	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	7	-19	15.3	15.6	-0.27	14.7	17.7	-3.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	17	18	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-10	25	12.5	16.5	-4.02	15.7	15.3	0.35
Allen Iverson	87	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	15.6	17.6	-1.96	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Shavlik Randolph	28	28	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-7	19	15.8	15.7	0.10	15.2	15.5	-0.30
John Salmons	22	22	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	5	-5	18.2	15.0	3.26	16.2	15.1	1.10
Chris Webber	78	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.7	18.7	-3.99
Kyle Korver	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	2	1	15.1	18.9	-3.78	15.3	15.9	-0.68
Steven Hunter	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	19.2	15.4	3.85	18.4	15.1	3.38
Andre Iguodala	76	76	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	9	-13	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Kevin Ollie	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	17.6	15.6	1.96	16.3	15.3	1.01
Samuel Dalembert	62	64	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	12	-19	16.4	14.5	1.90	16.0	14.1	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	90.4%
MEM 105, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.43,0.26,1	90.2%
UTA 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.72,1	90.2%