inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 105 Excitement7.6 [388] MVPDavis Bertans (SAS): +40.0%
Dallas Mavericks 101 Comeback7.1 [186] LVPHarrison Barnes (DAL): -24.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Davis Bertans0.400,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.4,0.40.130.270.006100%0.4000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.140.090.080.031165%0.161-0.024100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1-0.010.08-0.031350%0.122-0.022100%0.01
Bryn Forbes0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.01967%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.013100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011354%0.0600.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.011158%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Pau Gasol0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick White-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.040.01450%-0.0400.00450%-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.06-0.021136%-0.074-0.0900%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.01875%0.141-0.0200%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.07-0.02475%0.133-0.04475%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00560%0.0800.00580%0.01
Luka Doncic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.050.050.06-0.010.002157%0.122-0.062100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01470%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jalen Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.05-0.02650%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.05-0.001254%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.12-0.17-0.051828%-0.181-0.06367%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.80.725.414.729.72.027.0124.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +58.2%
DAL -6.8%
DAL -16.4%
SAS +16.1%
DAL -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.117.614.3119.3114.8109.3
season14.814.7111.7108.5
opponent14.114.4109.7110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.714.915.015.815.1
DAL17.216.418.518.517.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davis Bertans46460.72-0.220.940.3114-102415.714.51.1517.717.60.10
Bryn Forbes61600.380.120.250.49-48-1215.214.90.2517.218.5-1.34
Patty Mills44450.360.140.22-0.0815-112614.216.0-1.7017.617.60.04
DeMar DeRozan70700.360.140.210.3604-415.812.43.3418.115.82.32
Jakob Poeltl35350.340.160.18-0.0112-82014.915.2-0.3617.517.7-0.28
LaMarcus Aldridge41420.290.210.080.35-26-815.215.00.2718.616.71.86
Marco Belinelli46470.270.230.05-0.0812-82013.716.7-2.9917.318.0-0.75
Derrick White44430.130.37-0.240.51-1317-3016.014.21.7017.617.6-0.04
Quincy Pondexter11-0.100.60-0.69-0.01-37-100.015.3-15.289.017.7-8.72
Rudy Gay4040-0.130.63-0.750.02-59-1415.215.00.1318.017.30.69
Pau Gasol1211-0.130.63-0.760.04-610-1615.215.10.1714.518.1-3.62

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki20210.13-0.630.77-0.015-91415.318.3-3.0115.315.00.30
Wesley Matthews6061-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-81217.218.5-1.3415.115.1-0.01
Luka Doncic6564-0.19-0.310.12-0.407-111817.418.2-0.8015.813.22.66
Dorian Finney-Smith3737-0.21-0.290.090.03-84-1217.018.1-1.0315.115.10.06
Dwight Powell3938-0.22-0.280.050.01-84-1217.217.9-0.7115.015.2-0.18
Devin Harris1210-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-84-1219.817.32.5616.914.92.03
DeAndre Jordan5353-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-5618.216.71.4615.115.10.03
Maxi Kleber5151-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.382-6818.117.01.0315.115.1-0.06
Jalen Brunson3941-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.15-95-1417.917.40.5813.516.5-2.93
Harrison Barnes6464-0.620.12-0.73-0.44-62-818.116.31.7815.115.2-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.47,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 107, CLE 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,092.3%
MIL 93, MIA 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.05,091.1%
SAC 89, PHX 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.18,0.38,0.16,0.15,0.02,090.6%