NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	126		Excitement	6.8 [512]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +30.8%
Atlanta Hawks	142		Comeback	1.7 [207]		LVP	Abdel Nader (OKC): -5.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.03	15	58%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Jerami Grant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.02	21	55%	0.10	2	-0.02	14	79%	0.03
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	7	84%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	18	56%	0.06	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Abdel Nader	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.09	0.00	14	84%	0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.04	14	71%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	79%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	10	85%	0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.05	9	89%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.02	17	62%	0.23	7	-0.16	5	80%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	23.5	14.7	29.0	1.8	32.2	131.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +100.9%

OKC -20.8%

OKC -9.0%

OKC -19.9%

OKC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ATL	NBA	OKC	ATL	NBA
this game	12.8	13.8	14.3	117.8	130.3	109.3
season	12.9	13.6		108.9	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.9		112.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.7	13.9	11.7	14.1	12.8
ATL	14.0	13.3	15.4	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	84	85	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-21	26	11.8	16.7	-4.93	14.1	12.9	1.18
Steven Adams	86	88	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-17	18	11.8	16.9	-5.08	14.1	12.5	1.62
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	23.0	12.7	10.27	7.0	14.0	-6.96
Russell Westbrook	80	81	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-17	18	12.2	14.6	-2.32	14.3	12.5	1.75
Jerami Grant	91	91	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-7	-2	12.4	15.1	-2.63	13.9	13.6	0.27
Dennis Schroder	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-5	-6	12.4	13.4	-1.07	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Patrick Patterson	28	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-3	-10	15.2	12.0	3.24	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Terrance Ferguson	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	-4	-8	13.9	11.8	2.10	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Abdel Nader	31	32	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	3	-22	14.9	12.0	2.88	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Hamidou Diallo	23	24	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.08	-21	5	-26	16.7	11.8	4.93	12.9	14.1	-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	84	83	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.01	22	-6	28	13.5	15.1	-1.62	13.3	11.3	1.92
Omari Spellman	47	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	3	10	13.6	14.0	-0.50	15.4	11.0	4.41
Trae Young	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	0	16	13.8	13.9	-0.03	12.9	12.6	0.39
John Collins	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	2	12	14.3	13.2	1.08	12.4	13.5	-1.08
DeAndre' Bembry	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	10	-4	14.1	13.2	0.94	12.1	14.7	-2.66
Daniel Hamilton	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	11	-6	13.1	14.1	-0.94	14.2	12.4	1.81
Alex Len	72	71	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	11	-6	13.5	14.6	-1.11	11.6	15.2	-3.57
Vince Carter	34	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	16	-16	14.4	13.6	0.88	12.8	12.9	-0.09
Jaylen Adams	36	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	16	-16	13.6	13.9	-0.33	12.6	12.9	-0.39
Taurean Prince	30	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.11	-1	17	-18	14.8	13.5	1.33	12.4	13.0	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.56,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 106, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.0%
UTA 88, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%