inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 88 Excitement5.8 [690] MVPRaja Bell (UTA): +11.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 98 Comeback1.5 [898] LVPSebastian Telfair (POR): -16.7%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raja Bell0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.01-0.031666%0.192-0.0700%0.00
Carlos Boozer0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.02960%0.061-0.032100%0.02
Gordan Giricek0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00375%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Kirk Snyder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.001359%0.054-0.07683%0.00
Curtis Borchardt-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Howard Eisley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0020%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Kris Humphries-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.00425%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.021735%-0.092-0.0400%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.011244%-0.111-0.021070%-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.011068%0.102-0.041493%0.06
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.02671%0.102-0.052100%0.02
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.03883%0.102-0.052100%0.00
Travis Outlaw00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Geno Carlisle00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01-0.01959%0.052-0.054100%0.02
Damon Stoudamire0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001644%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.02250%-0.031-0.01450%-0.04
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.020.03850%-0.043-0.07450%-0.03
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.07-0.01647%-0.054-0.12560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.825.215.828.12.632.3130.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +13.2%
POR +23.3%
POR +5.6%
POR +8.4%
UTA -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAPORNBAUTAPORNBA
this game17.314.715.597.8108.9104.0
season16.715.8102.3101.2
opponent15.615.1105.4106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.621.913.316.217.3
POR15.711.915.515.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo66660.02-0.520.54-0.187-172415.921.0-5.0315.512.72.70
Raja Bell66660.02-0.520.54-0.187-172415.921.0-5.0315.512.72.70
Kirk Snyder56-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-4-217.217.3-0.078.015.2-7.21
Mehmet Okur7474-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-101016.918.9-1.9615.411.44.01
Gordan Giricek1312-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-2-623.516.27.3312.715.0-2.29
Kris Humphries2019-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-3-420.016.53.5812.215.4-3.26
Carlos Boozer7070-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.21-3-7416.619.5-2.8715.412.33.06
Howard Eisley1313-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-2-622.616.46.2515.714.61.12
Curtis Borchardt2728-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-9-1-817.117.3-0.2212.715.7-2.98
Raul Lopez1717-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-122-1418.816.91.9212.215.3-3.15
Matt Harpring7979-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-111-1217.515.51.9614.814.20.63

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla42430.79-0.291.090.1821-113214.215.2-1.0616.817.7-0.96
Sebastian Telfair34350.68-0.180.860.2116-62213.515.5-1.9817.317.20.12
Ruben Patterson41430.62-0.120.740.1217-72414.015.3-1.3519.015.73.32
Darius Miles32340.57-0.070.630.0717-72413.915.2-1.2818.416.61.84
Shareef Abdur-Rahim69670.330.170.170.0791814.814.50.3417.217.6-0.40
Zach Randolph69680.020.48-0.470.25-818-2615.313.02.3216.220.6-4.40
Travis Outlaw120.000.50-0.500.03-111-122.014.9-12.8811.517.4-5.90
Geno Carlisle120.000.50-0.500.03-111-122.014.9-12.8811.517.4-5.90
Derek Anderson5754-0.040.54-0.580.05-313-1615.413.51.8817.117.6-0.48
Damon Stoudamire5655-0.180.68-0.86-0.01-616-2215.513.51.9817.217.3-0.12
Theo Ratliff4847-0.290.79-1.080.03-1121-3215.214.21.0617.716.80.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 126, ATL 1420.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.56,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,193.8%
MIL 111, NYK 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,193.5%
DEN 118, MEM 1330.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.4%