inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 140 Excitement13.2 [14] MVPBradley Beal (WAS): +37.5%
Washington Wizards 138 Comeback7.6 [219] LVPTrevor Ariza (WAS): -27.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.24,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.310.160.160.012961%0.363-0.06989%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.310,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,0.31-0.010.29-0.03948%0.332-0.03367%-0.01
Delon Wright0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.14-0.000.051171%0.0900.002100%0.00
Norman Powell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01575%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Pascal Siakam0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.06-0.051663%0.185-0.176100%0.04
Greg Monroe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02167%0.022-0.02450%-0.01
Danny Green-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.090.05-0.080.051257%-0.071-0.02475%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.190,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.19,-0.19-0.15-0.10-0.071536%-0.045-0.15367%0.07
OG Anunoby-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.19-0.02-0.18-0.01647%0.011-0.203100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.19,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.370.380.080.29-0.013654%0.434-0.06743%-0.11
Thomas Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.1,0.080.080.040.04-0.011367%0.234-0.151100%0.00
Troy Brown Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.043117%0.0400.0000%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.040.040.16-0.060.061967%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.012100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Chasson Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Sam Dekker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.110.031150%-0.062-0.092100%0.01
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.13-0.14-0.011315%-0.2600.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27-0.270.04-0.290.021661%-0.105-0.17650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.32.427.314.028.01.836.22.615.02.422.2177.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.63.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +19.2%
TOR +45.0%
WAS -1.7%
WAS -24.8%
TOR +12.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game14.313.614.3112.0111.3109.3
season14.313.8111.5109.8
opponent14.314.5112.4105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR10.913.113.319.715.314.1
WAS15.413.612.910.318.013.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
OG Anunoby48460.89-0.391.271.03-57-1214.414.20.2012.514.3-1.84
Kyle Lowry1081070.58-0.080.660.2013-112414.314.6-0.3913.713.10.60
Danny Green90900.400.100.300.313-1413.915.3-1.3513.813.10.68
Kawhi Leonard97950.350.150.190.37-13-414.314.30.0313.912.71.19
Serge Ibaka80790.320.180.140.204-2614.114.8-0.6913.613.7-0.08
Norman Powell29300.140.36-0.210.063-1414.314.3-0.0513.013.9-0.88
Greg Monroe27270.120.38-0.250.0720213.514.5-1.0112.913.9-1.00
Delon Wright46460.120.38-0.270.23-46-1014.514.20.3313.014.0-0.94
Pascal Siakam9191-0.420.92-1.33-0.27-57-1214.912.62.2914.012.61.36

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza1001020.19-0.690.880.074-61013.812.90.8914.612.91.71
Troy Brown Jr.21200.01-0.510.52-0.238-101812.613.8-1.2317.813.64.21
Sam Dekker3030-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-61012.813.9-1.1514.414.30.16
Otto Porter Jr.9293-0.06-0.440.39-0.7323-254813.015.4-2.3815.411.14.37
Ian Mahinmi1717-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-20-214.213.50.6911.214.8-3.63
Chasson Randle1918-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-20-214.213.50.6810.914.9-3.93
Bradley Beal115117-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.504-61013.515.4-1.9514.69.65.01
Tomas Satoransky7577-0.500.00-0.50-0.03-1614-3014.112.91.1514.114.7-0.64
Thomas Bryant7272-0.700.20-0.89-0.31-1311-2414.212.91.3014.813.71.10
Jeff Green7979-0.840.34-1.19-0.26-2018-3813.713.40.3012.417.5-5.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.19,0.07,0.22,0.09,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 110, DEN 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.01,0.01,0,088.7%
NOP 99, MEM 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,088.6%
CLE 105, DEN 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,088.3%