NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	3.8 [1045]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +10.7%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	1.1 [1064]		LVP	JaVale McGee (DEN): -7.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.01	-0.06	14	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Will Cherry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	18	52%	0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	-0.01	0.09	19	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Erick Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	6	71%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	64%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	3.7	29.3	16.6	27.3	2.6	30.2	141.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.2%

CLE +5.9%

CLE +6.1%

CLE +15.6%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.1	114.6	103.1	104.2
season	15.9	14.6		108.7	103.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		106.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.4	18.9	15.0	18.8	15.8
DEN	14.2	13.8	13.8	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	75	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	16.2	14.4	1.78	14.1	13.2	0.90
LeBron James	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.05	14	-5	19	15.8	15.4	0.40	14.1	13.3	0.84
Kevin Love	73	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-6	21	15.4	17.0	-1.62	14.2	13.1	1.17
Shawn Marion	61	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-5	19	15.5	16.3	-0.86	14.4	13.0	1.37
Anderson Varejao	55	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-7	23	15.9	15.6	0.32	15.3	12.2	3.06
Dion Waiters	50	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	16	-23	15.2	16.3	-1.11	13.6	14.3	-0.77
Joe Harris	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	8	-7	16.7	15.7	0.96	10.7	14.2	-3.49
Tristan Thompson	44	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.34	-10	19	-29	15.9	15.7	0.21	12.7	15.0	-2.35
Mike Miller	30	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	16	-23	15.1	16.1	-0.98	12.6	14.6	-1.98
Will Cherry	6	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	22.7	15.3	7.36	11.2	14.1	-2.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Green	17	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-19	29	12.8	14.2	-1.42	18.6	15.2	3.42
Danilo Gallinari	41	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-19	29	13.9	13.9	-0.02	17.6	14.5	3.06
Jusuf Nurkic	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-19	29	13.2	14.3	-1.07	17.4	15.0	2.45
Darrell Arthur	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.7	13.8	0.92	9.3	16.7	-7.36
Alonzo Gee	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.39	10	-19	29	13.5	14.3	-0.71	18.0	14.0	3.96
Timofey Mozgov	40	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-1	-7	14.5	13.6	0.95	15.9	15.6	0.28
Randy Foye	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-14	19	13.6	14.7	-1.10	15.5	16.2	-0.67
JaVale McGee	24	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	5	-19	13.2	14.2	-0.97	12.0	16.8	-4.77
Nate Robinson	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	4	-17	14.4	13.5	0.86	16.3	15.1	1.20
Wilson Chandler	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	4	-17	14.5	13.2	1.29	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Kenneth Faried	46	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	11	-31	14.0	13.9	0.12	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Arron Afflalo	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	9	-27	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.7	17.8	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 107, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	95.3%
POR 101, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0	95.2%