NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	7.4 [416]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +26.6%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	7.3 [97]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -15.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	12	61%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	16	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	9	35%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Marcus Smart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.07	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	16	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.00	20	57%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.00	14	68%	0.33	6	-0.13	13	100%	0.08
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	15	60%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.01	18	40%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	54%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	24.4	14.7	26.2	1.8	34.0	128.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.1%

ORL +14.3%

ORL +7.8%

BOS -13.8%

ORL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.8	14.3	104.0	106.1	109.3
season	13.9	14.9		109.9	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.7		107.2	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.0	11.8	13.3	13.3
ORL	14.6	17.3	17.0	14.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	62	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.35	21	-23	44	12.1	15.2	-3.14	17.4	13.1	4.32
Marcus Morris	66	65	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.15	10	-12	22	12.7	14.5	-1.77	16.1	15.3	0.80
Marcus Smart	66	65	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.28	11	-13	24	13.0	13.9	-0.86	16.9	13.7	3.22
Kyrie Irving	67	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.42	13	-15	28	12.5	15.0	-2.46	16.9	13.5	3.43
Robert Williams III	5	5	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.4	13.2	1.16	11.0	16.0	-5.04
Jayson Tatum	57	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.59	8	-10	18	12.8	14.0	-1.13	15.9	15.6	0.28
Gordon Hayward	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	9	-20	13.7	12.9	0.82	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Terry Rozier	36	36	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	18	-38	14.8	12.4	2.40	13.7	17.0	-3.20
Daniel Theis	34	32	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.17	-16	14	-30	15.0	12.4	2.54	13.4	16.9	-3.52
Jaylen Brown	51	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	16	-34	14.8	11.7	3.01	14.3	17.3	-2.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	36	37	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.18	23	-21	44	13.0	17.4	-4.38	15.1	12.2	2.88
Aaron Gordon	78	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-9	20	15.1	18.3	-3.23	13.3	13.3	-0.04
Isaiah Briscoe	44	45	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.13	20	-18	38	13.8	17.4	-3.55	14.4	12.4	2.09
Terrence Ross	64	63	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-9	20	15.0	17.2	-2.14	14.1	12.0	2.09
Evan Fournier	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	5	-8	16.3	14.0	2.21	13.3	13.2	0.13
Wes Iwundu	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	14.9	16.1	-1.29	13.0	13.4	-0.37
D.J. Augustin	55	53	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.23	-18	20	-38	17.4	13.8	3.55	12.5	14.2	-1.63
Jonathan Isaac	50	51	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.12	-16	18	-34	17.6	13.9	3.66	12.3	14.4	-2.16
Nikola Vucevic	63	62	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.26	-21	23	-44	17.4	13.0	4.38	12.2	15.1	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, OKC 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.94,0.95,1	92.1%
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	91.5%
CLE 93, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,1,1	91.5%