NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	7.4 [345]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +36.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Comeback	6.2 [640]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -9.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.02	14	57%	0.20	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	14	40%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.37	0.37	0.17	0.19	-0.00	20	65%	0.42	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	0.00	12	59%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	5	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	14	39%	0.10	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	41%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.4	15.4	23.5	2.6	32.1	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.0%

OKC +13.3%

NOH -0.4%

NOH -6.3%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	18.6	14.1	15.4	100.0	104.5	104.1
season	16.3	14.8		103.9	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		100.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	21.4	18.5	17.2	17.8	18.6
OKC	13.9	15.0	14.8	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	40	40	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.03	8	-12	20	18.7	18.6	0.11	14.5	13.8	0.66
Robin Lopez	37	35	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.01	9	-13	22	18.8	18.5	0.29	14.8	13.7	1.09
Ryan Anderson	56	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-14	24	18.8	18.3	0.47	14.5	13.4	1.07
Austin Rivers	69	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-10	16	18.4	19.2	-0.76	14.4	12.9	1.49
Xavier Henry	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	17.9	18.9	-0.96	12.7	14.7	-1.99
Greivis Vasquez	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-5	6	19.8	16.8	2.97	15.4	11.9	3.48
Jason Smith	32	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	10	-24	18.3	18.8	-0.47	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Brian Roberts	56	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	18.2	19.3	-1.10	13.1	15.9	-2.82
Darius Miller	21	21	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	13	-30	18.0	18.8	-0.87	13.4	14.3	-0.96
Anthony Davis	51	53	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	9	-22	18.5	18.8	-0.29	13.7	14.8	-1.09

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	55	56	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-10	24	14.4	13.6	0.86	19.0	17.9	1.16
Reggie Jackson	23	22	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-8	20	12.7	14.6	-1.98	16.9	19.2	-2.27
Nick Collison	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	14.1	14.1	0.03	19.1	18.0	1.15
Kevin Durant	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	14.2	12.3	1.91	18.0	27.3	-9.36
Eric Maynor	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-6	16	13.3	14.5	-1.18	17.7	19.0	-1.37
Thabo Sefolosha	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.27	-5	9	-14	13.7	14.5	-0.81	18.9	18.3	0.55
Hasheem Thabeet	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	0	4	14.1	14.1	-0.02	23.0	18.0	5.01
Russell Westbrook	66	66	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	14	-24	14.4	13.2	1.24	18.8	18.0	0.82
Kendrick Perkins	46	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	13	-22	13.8	14.5	-0.69	18.2	19.0	-0.82
Serge Ibaka	40	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	12	-20	15.1	13.3	1.81	18.9	18.4	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.8%
SAS 96, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.71,0.77,0.99,1	92.3%
BOS 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.1%