NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	7.6 [288]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +14.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	4.0 [546]		LVP	Rasho Nesterovic (SAS): -28.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	18	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	59%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.09
Bruce Bowen	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	27	54%	-0.02	4	-0.07	11	64%	-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.14	0.00	7	14%	-0.13	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	8	78%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	6	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.05	-0.03	27	50%	0.13	6	-0.20	18	67%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.04
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	37.1	17.7	30.3	3.6	47.2	164.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +60.8%

PHI +5.1%

SAS -7.5%

SAS -2.4%

SAS -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	13.7	15.7	102.1	104.2	100.5
season	15.9	16.2		100.1	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.8		99.5	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.3	16.5	17.9	13.9	16.6
PHI	14.3	13.5	15.7	11.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	2	2	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	41.0	16.1	24.89	7.5	13.8	-6.34
Tony Parker	84	82	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.35	11	-15	26	16.3	19.8	-3.54	13.9	12.9	1.00
Robert Horry	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-6	8	15.5	17.0	-1.50	12.2	14.1	-1.88
Rasho Nesterovic	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	15.5	18.4	-2.83	15.0	11.8	3.18
Manu Ginobili	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-4	4	16.7	16.4	0.30	13.9	12.9	1.03
Bruce Bowen	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	16.7	16.5	0.16	14.5	11.6	2.85
Malik Rose	26	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	4	-12	19.4	15.6	3.80	13.0	14.0	-1.05
Hedo Turkoglu	45	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	1	-6	16.5	16.8	-0.33	12.2	15.1	-2.90
Tim Duncan	82	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	16.2	19.3	-3.09	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Jason Hart	10	14	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	11	-26	19.8	16.3	3.54	12.9	13.9	-1.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	13.8	13.2	0.57	16.2	20.3	-4.10
Allen Iverson	91	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-2	8	13.5	17.6	-4.11	16.6	18.2	-1.65
Amal McCaskill	29	29	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-6	16	12.1	14.4	-2.25	17.9	16.1	1.82
Kyle Korver	21	21	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-3	10	12.9	13.9	-1.09	20.4	15.6	4.82
Eric Snow	58	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	6	-8	14.8	12.1	2.65	15.6	18.1	-2.46
Marc Jackson	71	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	14.4	11.8	2.58	16.1	18.0	-1.94
Willie Green	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	3	-2	11.9	14.6	-2.71	18.3	15.8	2.54
Samuel Dalembert	67	67	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	7	-10	14.7	11.5	3.19	15.9	18.4	-2.53
John Salmons	26	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	12.2	14.3	-2.03	17.3	16.4	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.71,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.5%
TOR 95, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.3%
NOH 88, OKC 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.94,0.95,1	92.3%