NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	6.9 [445]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +13.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	7.0 [320]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -31.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.06	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	21	56%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trajan Langdon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	10	50%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.07
Andre Miller	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	16	35%	-0.17	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	13	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	13	55%	0.14	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	12	42%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	509.0	2.4	30.5	16.7	25.1	2.7	30.2	616.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.1%

MEM +2.5%

CLE -1.8%

MEM +8.2%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.6	102.2	107.7	102.3
season	15.8	15.7		102.6	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	12.8	18.3	18.9	16.1
MEM	12.7	18.5	14.5	17.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	9	8	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-11	17	11.3	16.6	-5.26	22.5	14.9	7.60
Michael Doleac	61	62	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-9	13	15.9	16.4	-0.43	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Jumaine Jones	57	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	16.0	16.2	-0.16	14.2	18.1	-3.89
Bimbo Coles	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.5	-1.30	17.3	14.8	2.48
Chris Mihm	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-5	5	17.3	14.7	2.57	16.7	14.2	2.52
Brian Skinner	26	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	5	-15	15.5	16.3	-0.75	13.5	16.4	-2.95
Lamond Murray	85	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	16.1	16.3	-0.27	14.9	23.1	-8.20
Ricky Davis	63	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	1	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.66	16.6	13.4	3.17
Andre Miller	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	16.7	12.5	4.23	15.5	15.9	-0.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	52	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-5	15	16.7	14.1	2.57	16.8	15.1	1.66
Pau Gasol	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-8	21	14.9	18.0	-3.11	16.9	13.1	3.75
Grant Long	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	15.1	17.5	-2.40	16.8	13.3	3.49
Shane Battier	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-5	15	15.2	19.7	-4.49	16.6	10.2	6.39
Jason Williams	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	15.5	15.9	-0.42	16.8	11.9	4.85
Nick Anderson	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	16.1	15.5	0.60	12.2	16.9	-4.64
Will Solomon	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	19.7	15.2	4.49	10.2	16.6	-6.39
Lorenzen Wright	46	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	9	-13	14.2	16.9	-2.69	15.2	16.9	-1.73
Brevin Knight	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	17.5	15.1	2.41	13.2	16.7	-3.43
Tony Massenburg	13	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	14	-23	19.6	14.9	4.72	12.1	16.8	-4.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, CHI 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
NYK 86, CHH 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.97,0.91,1	92.6%
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.5%