NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	12.0 [27]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +48.6%
Boston Celtics	121		Comeback	4.8 [359]		LVP	JJ Redick (PHI): -39.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.35	0.04	0.30	0.00	11	62%	0.45	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.06
Furkan Korkmaz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.07,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	-0.13	0.01	17	74%	0.30	6	-0.31	12	100%	0.10
Jimmy Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.02	21	53%	0.09	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	9	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.09
Mike Muscala	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.3,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.4	-0.01	-0.38	0.01	16	46%	-0.37	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.32,0.5,0.49	0.49	0.15	0.32	-0.01	33	60%	0.55	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	6	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	0.01	13	77%	0.29	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.02	18	51%	0.08	1	-0.12	9	89%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	24.6	15.4	29.3	3.4	30.4	2.5	13.4	147.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +61.0%

PHI -20.6%

PHI -3.7%

BOS +15.7%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	14.3	101.8	105.2	109.3
season	14.0	13.9		110.9	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.1		106.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.7	14.0	12.5	15.8	17.6	14.5
BOS	13.5	14.3	15.2	12.3	10.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	50	53	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.17	6	-13	19	13.3	15.5	-2.14	14.2	13.0	1.20
Furkan Korkmaz	22	21	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-13	19	13.3	14.8	-1.56	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Landry Shamet	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	3	-13	14.8	14.4	0.42	14.2	13.2	0.99
Mike Muscala	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	4	-15	15.0	14.3	0.74	13.5	13.5	0.05
JJ Redick	82	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-10	13	14.4	14.8	-0.42	13.2	14.2	-0.99
Joel Embiid	85	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-9	11	14.5	14.7	-0.23	13.4	13.7	-0.23
Wilson Chandler	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-6	5	14.6	14.2	0.46	13.7	13.0	0.73
Jimmy Butler	90	94	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.3	1.56	13.7	12.8	0.85
Ben Simmons	81	84	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.46	-17	10	-27	15.0	13.4	1.62	12.9	15.0	-2.09

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	84	82	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.41	22	-15	37	12.9	15.3	-2.40	14.9	13.4	1.54
Kyrie Irving	86	84	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.31	19	-12	31	12.8	15.6	-2.74	14.9	13.5	1.32
Gordon Hayward	60	59	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.57	9	-2	11	13.7	13.3	0.34	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Al Horford	67	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	5	-3	13.3	13.8	-0.53	15.0	14.0	0.99
Marcus Morris	81	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	8	-9	13.7	13.1	0.59	14.6	14.3	0.29
Daniel Theis	47	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	2	3	14.0	13.2	0.77	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Terry Rozier	40	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	10	-13	14.2	13.1	1.03	14.5	14.5	0.04
Marcus Smart	68	65	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.31	-4	11	-15	13.5	13.4	0.10	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Jaylen Brown	42	42	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.11	-14	21	-35	14.8	12.8	2.02	13.6	15.1	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.26,0.55,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	89.7%
NJN 92, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	89.4%
TOR 122, LAL 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.59,0.58,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.9,1,1	89.1%