NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	10.4 [80]		MVP	Robert Covington (MIN): +31.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	5.5 [119]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -21.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.32,0.32	0.10	0.22	-0.00	8	68%	0.32	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31	-0.00	0.31	-0.00	9	56%	0.35	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	92%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.01	20	60%	0.34	4	-0.19	10	60%	-0.21
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Josh Okogie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	10	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22	0.03	-0.25	0.00	9	75%	0.04	5	-0.26	6	100%	0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.24	-0.00	19	55%	0.35	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	10	57%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	10	67%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	24	57%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	6	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	38%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	33.4	15.5	26.2	1.8	40.0	145.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +62.8%

OKC -10.7%

MIN +19.3%

OKC -25.4%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	12.3	14.3	111.8	106.7	109.3
season	14.4	12.9		110.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.0		106.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	18.0	16.2	15.3	15.6
OKC	11.3	10.8	15.8	11.9	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	60	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-11	24	15.2	16.1	-0.87	12.8	11.5	1.28
Josh Okogie	54	55	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.61	0	2	-2	15.4	15.7	-0.24	11.8	12.8	-1.00
Taj Gibson	53	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-10	22	15.0	16.2	-1.20	13.2	11.3	1.90
Gorgui Dieng	46	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-6	14	14.9	16.1	-1.26	12.0	12.5	-0.49
Andrew Wiggins	91	92	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	10	-18	15.7	14.1	1.65	12.2	13.5	-1.31
Karl-Anthony Towns	56	58	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	8	-14	16.1	14.9	1.26	12.5	12.0	0.49
Tyus Jones	66	70	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-2	6	15.0	16.5	-1.45	12.7	11.5	1.20
Jerryd Bayless	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	5	-8	16.9	14.9	1.98	11.8	12.6	-0.81
Dario Saric	49	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.23	-10	12	-22	16.2	15.0	1.20	11.3	13.2	-1.90

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrance Ferguson	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-4	6	11.1	12.6	-1.45	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Russell Westbrook	78	76	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-9	16	12.2	12.5	-0.27	16.0	14.3	1.68
Patrick Patterson	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-3	4	11.5	12.7	-1.20	16.5	15.0	1.50
Nerlens Noel	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-5	8	11.6	12.8	-1.15	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Jerami Grant	73	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-6	10	12.5	11.9	0.54	15.6	15.5	0.13
Hamidou Diallo	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	0	-2	12.5	12.3	0.18	14.1	15.9	-1.84
Paul George	83	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-9	16	12.5	11.6	0.92	16.0	13.8	2.26
Alex Abrines	56	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-3	4	12.3	12.3	-0.06	16.4	14.6	1.77
Steven Adams	61	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	10	-22	13.0	11.3	1.75	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Dennis Schroder	58	54	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.13	-21	19	-40	12.5	12.1	0.38	14.2	17.0	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.26,0	89.3%
CLE 102, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.27,0	88.5%
POR 88, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.31,0.45,0.24,0.09,0	88.3%