NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	6.8 [443]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +14.3%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	2.5 [308]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -25.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	8	62%	0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	11	67%	0.22	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Chris Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	15	34%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	17	73%	0.28	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	9	50%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.02	12	37%	-0.19	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	20.6	15.5	26.4	1.8	38.6	127.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +51.9%

IND -6.2%

POR +11.1%

IND -6.6%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	17.5	15.8	15.6	101.1	96.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.2	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.5		101.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	16.5	17.9	19.4	17.5
IND	14.9	15.5	16.4	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	49	49	0.67	-0.16	0.83	0.23	15	-10	25	17.6	17.3	0.32	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Clifford Robinson	79	78	0.59	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	17.3	19.1	-1.82	15.9	15.4	0.48
Kenny Anderson	80	78	0.57	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	17.3	18.9	-1.51	15.9	15.4	0.48
Aaron McKie	55	54	0.53	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	18.4	15.9	2.48	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Arvydas Sabonis	59	58	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	17.3	17.9	-0.62	15.1	17.3	-2.24
Gary Trent	39	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	13	-21	18.1	17.0	1.14	16.4	15.3	1.09
Isaiah Rider	39	40	-0.08	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	7	-9	16.4	18.3	-1.88	15.8	15.8	0.07
Chris Dudley	35	35	-0.16	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	14	-23	17.3	17.6	-0.31	16.5	15.3	1.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	44	44	0.14	-0.65	0.79	0.02	4	-9	13	15.6	16.0	-0.41	17.0	18.0	-1.00
Dale Davis	69	69	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.29	6	-11	17	15.3	17.8	-2.50	17.3	18.0	-0.67
Reggie Miller	66	68	-0.22	-0.29	0.07	-0.31	3	-8	11	15.1	18.2	-3.11	17.1	18.9	-1.89
Jerome Allen	15	16	-0.25	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	3	-11	17.1	15.5	1.52	17.4	17.5	-0.04
Derrick McKey	64	66	-0.26	-0.25	-0.01	-0.35	3	-8	11	15.6	16.4	-0.74	17.7	16.7	1.06
Fred Hoiberg	21	20	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	3	-11	17.6	15.2	2.33	18.0	17.3	0.69
Vincent Askew	30	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.6	0.64	18.1	17.2	0.94
Travis Best	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	15.9	15.5	0.43	17.4	17.8	-0.39
Antonio Davis	52	55	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.37	-17	12	-29	16.4	15.0	1.39	17.8	16.8	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.31,0.45,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.09,0	92.8%
DET 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	91.5%
NYK 102, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,0	91.1%