NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +20.3%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	2.8 [502]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -19.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.01	17	65%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	15	70%	0.20	4	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
John Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	80%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	8	72%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.04	-0.07	9	30%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	25	56%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	1	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.08	5	-0.14	11	73%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	39%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	4	29%	-0.09	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	33.6	15.5	28.7	1.8	34.1	140.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.2%

DEN -3.2%

DEN -10.0%

NYK +21.6%

NYK +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	15.2	105.2	99.0	101.7
season	16.1	14.8		100.0	101.5
opponent	15.0	15.8		103.7	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	14.5	13.7	13.6	14.0
DEN	16.4	15.5	17.1	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	53	54	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-5	17	13.7	14.4	-0.73	16.3	15.3	0.99
Kurt Thomas	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	1	5	13.9	14.1	-0.19	17.2	14.3	2.94
Charlie Ward	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-7	21	13.8	14.5	-0.64	17.0	13.0	3.99
Allan Houston	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	13.6	15.5	-1.90	15.6	16.9	-1.37
Latrell Sprewell	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	3	1	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Chris Childs	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	7	-7	14.0	14.0	0.06	15.5	16.2	-0.67
John Wallace	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	2	3	13.5	14.1	-0.59	18.6	15.3	3.24
Rick Brunson	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	19.5	13.9	5.63	7.0	16.1	-9.05
Chris Dudley	22	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	8	-9	14.8	13.7	1.07	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Larry Johnson	68	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	17	-27	14.3	13.2	1.17	14.7	18.5	-3.78

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	24	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	16.0	15.8	0.12	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Ryan Bowen	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-15	23	12.6	17.0	-4.38	14.9	13.7	1.25
Chris Herren	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-5	3	16.0	15.8	0.18	15.0	13.7	1.32
James Posey	35	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.8	0.08	14.3	13.8	0.49
Raef LaFrentz	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.8	16.0	-0.15	14.5	13.0	1.43
Ron Mercer	93	94	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	15.8	17.3	-1.52	14.1	11.7	2.40
Roy Rogers	10	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	2	-11	16.9	15.7	1.16	12.2	14.3	-2.12
George McCloud	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	17.3	14.3	2.95	13.7	14.3	-0.56
Nick Van Exel	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.18	13.7	15.0	-1.32
Antonio McDyess	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	6	-19	15.9	15.8	0.09	13.6	15.9	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
IND 89, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.15,0.05,0.23,0.16,0	93.1%
CHI 113, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.9%