NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	7.3 [425]		MVP	Garrett Temple (MEM): +20.6%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	25.9 [82]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -20.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.02	9	85%	0.25	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.06	-0.13	0.02	-0.04	12	43%	0.08	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.06
Shelvin Mack	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	11	44%	0.01	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,-0.21	0.10	-0.31	0.00	18	64%	-0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	9	57%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.27,0.16,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	24	53%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.00	11	50%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.0	14.6	27.2	2.7	34.8	132.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -6.4%

SAC +19.0%

SAC +18.6%

SAC +24.1%

MEM -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	14.3	105.3	106.2	109.3
season	15.4	13.3		105.4	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		110.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	15.0	16.9	17.6	16.0
SAC	14.7	15.0	15.8	11.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	51	53	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.15	-1	-2	1	16.7	15.2	1.47	14.4	14.2	0.25
Jevon Carter	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-7	11	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Wayne Selden	35	35	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-8	13	13.2	17.7	-4.47	15.4	13.7	1.68
MarShon Brooks	4	5	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	19.7	15.9	3.88	16.4	14.2	2.21
Jaren Jackson Jr.	47	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	1	-5	15.1	17.0	-1.89	14.8	13.8	1.00
Kyle Anderson	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	17.2	13.7	3.42	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Shelvin Mack	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	6	-15	16.9	15.0	1.86	13.4	15.3	-1.88
Marc Gasol	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	16.6	13.6	3.01	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Mike Conley	63	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.54	-1	-2	1	14.4	19.4	-4.96	14.7	13.4	1.31
Garrett Temple	74	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	16.6	13.9	2.71	14.1	15.0	-0.88

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	71	71	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-10	23	13.5	16.6	-3.16	16.5	14.4	2.11
De'Aaron Fox	66	63	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-4	11	13.8	15.3	-1.45	16.9	14.3	2.55
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	13.7	15.1	-1.35	16.1	15.9	0.19
Buddy Hield	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	1	1	14.2	14.8	-0.69	16.6	13.7	2.94
Willie Cauley-Stein	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	13.8	15.8	-1.99	16.8	13.4	3.42
Iman Shumpert	41	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	15.1	13.7	1.35	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Yogi Ferrell	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	4	-5	16.0	13.8	2.23	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Kosta Koufos	34	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	16.0	13.4	2.58	13.1	17.4	-4.31
Justin Jackson	44	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	10	-17	15.2	13.5	1.75	14.7	17.2	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 110, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	94.1%
ATL 93, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.36,0.15,0.43,0.42,1	92.5%
WAS 100, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.58,1	92.3%