NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	6.9 [505]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +21.3%
Brooklyn Nets	115		Comeback	1.8 [518]		LVP	Josh Hart (LAL): -7.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	23	61%	0.24	5	-0.11	13	62%	-0.04
Lonzo Ball	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	68%	0.17	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Moritz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	21	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.01	13	68%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	21	52%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	26.4	15.3	27.3	2.6	33.5	135.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +28.3%

BKN +9.3%

LAL -4.4%

BKN +13.6%

BKN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BKN	NBA	LAL	BKN	NBA
this game	12.8	14.5	14.3	103.8	109.5	109.3
season	13.5	14.3		107.2	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.2		109.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.0	15.2	12.3	11.8	12.8
BKN	14.7	13.0	12.9	17.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	5	5	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-8	11	12.4	12.8	-0.44	17.4	14.3	3.06
Svi Mykhailiuk	13	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	9.6	13.3	-3.65	15.8	14.3	1.46
Tyson Chandler	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	13.6	12.4	1.26	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Moritz Wagner	18	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	4	-13	15.1	12.4	2.76	12.7	14.8	-2.12
Lance Stephenson	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	5	-15	13.2	12.7	0.53	13.1	15.0	-1.90
LeBron James	92	92	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-9	13	12.1	17.3	-5.14	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	82	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-6	7	12.6	13.6	-0.99	14.7	13.7	1.06
Kyle Kuzma	94	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	12.4	15.9	-3.49	14.7	12.6	2.07
Josh Hart	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	12.9	12.5	0.43	14.9	13.6	1.29
Lonzo Ball	83	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	13.7	9.8	3.82	14.9	13.0	1.88

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	14.9	13.1	1.79	13.0	12.2	0.76
DeMarre Carroll	54	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-6	17	12.4	16.7	-4.32	13.5	12.1	1.39
D'Angelo Russell	72	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-2	9	14.9	13.6	1.28	12.9	12.7	0.21
Ed Davis	23	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-7	19	12.7	15.0	-2.24	15.6	12.0	3.69
Jared Dudley	51	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	2	1	15.5	13.5	2.03	12.0	13.6	-1.57
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	84	82	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	11	-17	14.6	13.9	0.73	12.3	14.5	-2.22
Spencer Dinwiddie	74	73	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	11	-17	14.9	13.4	1.51	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Rodions Kurucs	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	15.2	14.1	1.13	12.8	12.9	-0.09
Jarrett Allen	48	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	13.8	15.1	-1.28	12.9	12.8	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.93,1,1,1	93.8%
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	93.4%
CHA 91, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	93.3%