NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	6.1 [585]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +17.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	1.5 [762]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -13.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	46%	0.03	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	69%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	26	42%	-0.02	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	18	58%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	5	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	22	57%	0.13	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.8	15.0	25.2	2.3	35.3	134.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.6%

OKC +2.1%

OKC +9.6%

OKC +8.5%

OKC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	OKC	NBA	CHA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.3	98.9	106.5	106.0
season	16.2	15.0		103.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	14.6	17.8	13.6	15.2
OKC	14.1	13.7	19.1	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	14.6	15.3	-0.72	24.3	15.2	9.13
Ronald Murray	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.83	13.7	17.1	-3.41
D.J. Augustin	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-7	7	13.0	16.1	-3.12	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Nazr Mohammed	52	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-12	17	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.6	16.8	-1.13
Stephen Graham	48	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-7	7	14.1	16.5	-2.39	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Boris Diaw	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.4	14.6	0.86	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Raymond Felton	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	16.0	12.8	3.14	16.8	13.8	3.00
Gerald Wallace	85	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	0	-7	15.3	14.1	1.15	16.4	11.2	5.28
Stephen Jackson	75	76	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.21	-18	11	-29	16.0	11.6	4.37	15.8	17.7	-1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	82	83	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-10	27	15.8	18.2	-2.36	15.6	12.0	3.55
Jeff Green	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	4	-1	16.5	14.1	2.43	15.3	14.9	0.33
Russell Westbrook	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.23	2	5	-3	16.4	15.2	1.21	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Nenad Krstic	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	0	7	16.1	16.1	-0.06	16.5	14.0	2.57
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	0	7	15.4	16.8	-1.45	15.7	14.7	1.00
James Harden	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	16.8	15.4	1.45	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Nick Collison	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	16.5	15.6	0.97	13.9	16.9	-3.02
Eric Maynor	26	25	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.2	14.8	1.36
Serge Ibaka	23	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	13	-19	14.8	16.5	-1.75	14.1	15.5	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%
LAL 86, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	93.8%
POR 93, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.7%