NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	9.6 [120]		MVP	Larry Nance Jr. (CLE): +78.1%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	19.9 [54]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -26.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0.78	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.78	0.01	0.77	-0.00	14	54%	0.85	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	83%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ante Zizic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,-0.05	0.07	-0.14	-0.02	12	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	16	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	14	46%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.10	0.03	13	46%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	9	81%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	9	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	48%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	14	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	15	33%	-0.16	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	25.6	15.4	24.7	1.0	32.8	122.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.2%

CLE +8.9%

IND -1.2%

IND -11.0%

CLE +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.0	14.3	97.9	94.8	109.3
season	15.5	14.5		106.3	108.4
opponent	14.6	13.9		105.7	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	16.9	16.1	15.0	16.4
IND	13.2	14.4	12.7	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	56	55	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-7	15	15.4	17.7	-2.29	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Larry Nance Jr.	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	0	1	16.6	15.9	0.68	13.5	15.0	-1.43
Matthew Dellavedova	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-17	35	14.9	17.1	-2.16	14.8	13.6	1.24
Ante Zizic	28	27	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-15	31	14.8	17.0	-2.21	14.5	13.8	0.76
Cedi Osman	79	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.55	-7	8	-15	16.4	16.1	0.28	14.4	11.4	3.06
Jaron Blossomgame	43	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.17	12	-11	23	15.4	17.2	-1.72	14.8	13.2	1.65
Rodney Hood	68	70	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.51	-12	13	-25	16.9	15.0	1.84	14.1	13.5	0.59
Collin Sexton	63	65	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.56	-17	18	-35	17.2	14.7	2.53	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Channing Frye	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	7	-13	17.4	16.2	1.20	12.7	14.2	-1.49
David Nwaba	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	9	-17	18.9	15.5	3.42	13.7	14.1	-0.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	59	58	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-11	21	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.9	15.6	1.32
Domantas Sabonis	48	47	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.30	-8	7	-15	14.7	13.2	1.56	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Thaddeus Young	62	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-11	21	13.9	14.1	-0.19	17.2	14.7	2.46
Victor Oladipo	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-9	17	14.1	13.6	0.60	16.8	15.3	1.50
Tyreke Evans	29	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	13.6	14.1	-0.60	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Doug McDermott	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	9	-19	14.3	13.7	0.65	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Bojan Bogdanovic	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.69	9	-10	19	13.8	14.3	-0.46	16.6	15.8	0.78
Myles Turner	62	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.67	-2	1	-3	13.1	15.6	-2.55	16.8	15.7	1.09
Cory Joseph	42	40	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.42	-13	12	-25	14.0	13.9	0.10	15.1	17.3	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.54,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,0	91.0%
LAL 88, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.74,0	90.6%
ORL 93, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.58,0	89.6%