NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	9.1 [103]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +37.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	8.6 [139]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -25.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.38	0.02	0.37	0.01	7	56%	0.41	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.2,0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	9	58%	0.21	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.02	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	20	52%	0.04	7	-0.30	14	71%	-0.11

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.18	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	15	45%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.14	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	19	54%	0.29	3	-0.29	3	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	11	43%	0.00	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	12	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.5	28.2	16.4	22.5	2.4	35.6	128.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +20.9%

ORL +6.1%

ORL +12.2%

ORL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.6	106.9	104.7	102.8
season	16.2	14.6		102.8	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	16.0	18.0	15.8	16.2
MIL	16.5	14.0	19.9	18.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	55	57	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-5	13	17.2	14.5	2.71	17.0	17.2	-0.28
Dwight Howard	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-3	9	15.7	19.9	-4.20	17.7	13.2	4.52
JJ Redick	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	15.5	17.9	-2.34	18.1	14.6	3.52
Jameer Nelson	53	52	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	2	-1	16.4	16.1	0.30	17.3	16.7	0.63
Hedo Turkoglu	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	2	-1	16.8	15.1	1.67	16.9	17.3	-0.35
DeAndre Liggins	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	0	3	14.4	16.8	-2.33	18.5	16.7	1.82
Chris Duhon	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	16.1	16.4	-0.30	16.5	17.5	-0.97
Quentin Richardson	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	16.7	16.2	0.56	14.5	17.3	-2.82
Von Wafer	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	17.9	15.5	2.34	14.6	18.1	-3.52
Glen Davis	43	41	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	11	-19	15.9	16.6	-0.66	16.0	18.0	-1.93

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	15	15	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	13.1	17.9	-4.75	17.9	15.9	1.96
Mike Dunleavy	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-11	19	16.9	17.6	-0.78	17.0	14.1	2.87
Ersan Ilyasova	71	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-13	23	17.4	15.7	1.69	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Jon Leuer	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	16.3	17.7	-1.37	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Larry Sanders	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.34	2	-5	7	17.7	16.3	1.37	17.2	15.1	2.16
Shaun Livingston	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	5	-13	16.1	18.0	-1.84	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Luc Mbah a Moute	15	15	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	10	-23	15.7	17.4	-1.69	16.4	16.2	0.19
Carlos Delfino	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	18.1	12.9	5.20	15.8	18.1	-2.33
Brandon Jennings	67	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	2	-7	17.7	14.9	2.71	15.7	18.2	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.51,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.46,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.59,0	91.4%
SAC 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,0	90.8%
DEN 97, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.72,0	90.1%