NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	113		Excitement	8.9 [191]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +57.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	7.2 [367]		LVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (LAL): -16.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	14	60%	0.25	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.09
Rudy Gay	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.06	-0.00	21	66%	0.27	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.08	0.02	27	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Davis Bertans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.23,-0.12,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.57	0.57	0.28	0.30	0.01	24	69%	0.63	2	-0.06	13	69%	-0.03
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.16	-0.01	12	54%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.00	5	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	2	71%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	19	49%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.4	25.5	14.7	30.8	2.7	36.5	145.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.3%

SAS -2.4%

SAS -17.7%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	14.3	107.6	117.5	109.3
season	14.8	13.5		111.7	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.4		108.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	15.2	12.3	14.7	14.1
LAL	12.7	16.8	13.0	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	39	40	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-12	16	13.8	14.3	-0.50	14.5	13.0	1.47
Bryn Forbes	50	46	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-11	14	15.0	13.3	1.71	11.9	15.0	-3.09
Jakob Poeltl	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	13.4	14.4	-1.00	13.9	13.5	0.45
Davis Bertans	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	12.8	14.7	-1.94	12.2	14.3	-2.13
Marco Belinelli	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.2	13.9	1.30	14.1	13.5	0.62
Rudy Gay	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	13.9	14.5	-0.55	13.8	13.1	0.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-4	0	14.8	12.8	1.97	14.0	12.9	1.02
Patty Mills	46	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	12.2	15.5	-3.29	13.8	13.4	0.36
Dante Cunningham	71	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	3	-14	14.8	12.5	2.35	14.2	12.5	1.65
DeMar DeRozan	90	88	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.20	-14	6	-20	14.2	13.4	0.80	13.5	14.3	-0.86

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	58	57	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.35	27	-19	46	14.1	13.0	1.11	15.1	12.9	2.15
LeBron James	84	86	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-11	30	13.5	13.8	-0.29	14.2	13.7	0.43
Lonzo Ball	82	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-10	28	13.6	13.6	0.04	14.5	12.3	2.21
Josh Hart	30	30	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	0	8	11.7	14.4	-2.73	14.6	13.9	0.67
Kyle Kuzma	82	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-2	12	13.6	13.6	0.04	14.3	13.2	1.09
Brandon Ingram	11	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	5	-2	11.7	13.8	-2.10	16.2	13.8	2.45
Lance Stephenson	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.6	0.03	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	6	-4	14.4	12.5	1.94	13.3	15.2	-1.89
Michael Beasley	8	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	14.1	13.6	0.57	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Svi Mykhailiuk	29	28	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.06	-16	24	-40	13.4	13.7	-0.26	12.0	14.8	-2.84
JaVale McGee	41	45	-0.63	1.13	-1.75	-0.01	-21	29	-50	13.8	13.5	0.26	13.4	14.6	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.32,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.41,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.45,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	91.7%
NJN 105, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	91.6%
VAN 81, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.39,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	91.1%