inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 115 Excitement7.8 [340] MVPDewayne Dedmon (ATL): +11.1%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback1.8 [245] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -31.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.070.013114%0.152-0.041100%0.00
Taurean Prince0.090,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.090.080.020.011169%0.122-0.03475%-0.05
Omari Spellman0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.020.01778%0.081-0.034100%0.02
Kevin Huerter0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01757%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Trae Young0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.021257%0.103-0.08683%-0.00
Justin Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alex Len-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.050.01564%0.051-0.08475%-0.00
John Collins-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.060.05-0.100.021067%0.092-0.154100%0.01
Jeremy Lin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.01454%-0.013-0.08580%0.01
Kent Bazemore-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.021050%0.025-0.14475%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001030%-0.084-0.1100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01486%0.103-0.07667%-0.01
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.021358%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.010.010.03-0.03-0.00667%0.031-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02850%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.08-0.060.031164%0.011-0.02683%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01848%-0.002-0.05714%-0.08
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.080.02940%-0.111-0.022100%0.01
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.090.00961%0.086-0.2400%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.2,-0.26,-0.31-0.31-0.04-0.29-0.021751%-0.095-0.22989%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.61.826.215.329.61.035.6140.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +42.3%
ATL +10.5%
ATL +3.0%
MIA -7.7%
ATL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game13.712.614.3105.5102.7109.3
season13.614.8107.2106.3
opponent14.313.9106.7112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.712.013.616.613.7
MIA10.914.613.112.212.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Prince72740.60-0.100.700.5420213.713.60.1013.111.81.29
John Collins65650.53-0.030.570.68-57-1214.013.10.9612.712.60.15
Kent Bazemore60610.470.030.440.354-2613.314.1-0.7311.813.7-1.96
Trae Young70710.400.100.300.3711013.813.50.3113.012.01.04
Justin Anderson670.380.120.260.148-6149.013.9-4.9311.312.7-1.45
Dewayne Dedmon45480.310.190.130.43-46-1014.413.11.3014.411.33.11
Kevin Huerter43430.110.39-0.280.1102-213.913.50.3714.311.62.76
Alex Len42410.100.40-0.31-0.2512-102212.814.2-1.4612.812.60.22
Jeremy Lin4344-0.070.57-0.64-0.163-1413.613.7-0.1712.212.9-0.70
DeAndre' Bembry5048-0.080.58-0.660.13-79-1613.513.8-0.3010.214.5-4.25
Omari Spellman4948-0.250.75-1.01-0.14-46-1014.013.30.6912.113.1-1.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow61570.22-0.720.940.104-61011.713.8-2.0714.912.32.55
James Johnson4343-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-3413.712.01.6913.213.9-0.71
Kelly Olynyk5049-0.07-0.430.35-0.3710-122212.213.0-0.8215.012.62.43
Hassan Whiteside5756-0.20-0.300.100.01-75-1213.411.81.5413.314.1-0.81
Derrick Jones Jr.1212-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-1210-2212.412.7-0.2612.113.9-1.77
Wayne Ellington6973-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.434-61013.611.12.5113.314.3-1.00
Josh Richardson8079-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.454-61013.111.31.8013.514.1-0.65
Rodney McGruder8380-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-2212.513.0-0.4714.012.81.18
Bam Adebayo3233-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-86-1411.613.1-1.4412.514.2-1.64
Dwyane Wade6363-0.740.24-0.98-0.56-64-1011.614.1-2.4813.314.2-0.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 93, DAL 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.15,092.3%
BOS 102, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.11,0.37,0.03,0.03,091.2%
CLE 100, ATL 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,091.2%