NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	6.6 [483]		MVP	Erick Strickland (BOS): +11.9%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.2 [391]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -40.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	6	93%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.07	17	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.06
Antoine Walker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08	-0.18	0.08	-0.03	24	36%	0.05	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.05	14	64%	0.17	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	21	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.31	-0.13	-0.04	20	33%	-0.19	8	-0.21	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	36.0	14.8	23.0	2.8	40.2	141.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.9%

BOS +9.1%

NJN -16.1%

BOS +28.1%

BOS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.6	103.0	92.8	102.3
season	15.0	14.7		100.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.7		98.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	15.2	16.7	15.4	15.5
NJN	14.5	14.8	14.6	11.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	46	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-1	14	16.2	14.9	1.35	13.2	14.5	-1.34
Erick Strickland	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-2	16	15.0	16.7	-1.71	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Rodney Rogers	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-4	20	14.9	17.2	-2.32	14.2	13.0	1.20
Paul Pierce	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	16.0	14.7	1.36	14.1	13.5	0.57
Antoine Walker	96	94	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	4	4	15.6	11.7	3.97	13.9	13.7	0.20
Walter McCarty	45	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	15.2	15.8	-0.66	14.0	13.7	0.30
Tony Battie	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	11	-10	16.1	15.2	0.92	13.5	14.1	-0.53
Vitaly Potapenko	13	12	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	9	-6	14.0	15.7	-1.74	14.8	13.7	1.12
Kedrick Brown	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	12	-12	3.0	15.6	-12.64	0.0	13.9	-13.86
Mark Blount	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	15.4	15.5	-0.12	12.4	13.9	-1.53
Kenny Anderson	50	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	19	-26	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.1	13.6	0.50

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	41	41	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-17	22	14.8	13.2	1.60	16.8	14.6	2.24
Lucious Harris	45	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-10	8	13.8	13.9	-0.15	15.0	16.0	-0.94
Aaron Williams	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-7	2	14.4	13.7	0.75	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Keith Van Horn	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-12	12	14.1	13.1	0.99	16.1	13.7	2.33
Richard Jefferson	34	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	15.2	13.1	2.03	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Kerry Kittles	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	13.6	14.2	-0.54	16.4	14.2	2.25
Kenyon Martin	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	3	-18	13.4	16.2	-2.77	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Jason Collins	36	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	0	-12	12.5	14.7	-2.20	14.4	16.2	-1.73
Jason Kidd	92	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	3	-18	13.7	16.0	-2.26	15.2	20.3	-5.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.11,0.37,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	94.2%
MIA 87, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	93.0%
LAL 111, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0	92.9%