NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	5.2 [751]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +17.1%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.2 [632]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.17	0.15	0.08	0.06	25	61%	0.22	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	16	74%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	12	24%	-0.10	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.04	11	84%	0.17	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.04	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	20	49%	0.09	3	-0.10	15	87%	0.05
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.8	2.8	30.8	19.8	31.0	2.7	45.2	168.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.4%

PHX -1.6%

LAL +16.3%

LAL +15.6%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	14.4	15.3	122.0	114.4	106.0
season	15.7	14.4		107.9	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	18.0	18.5	18.6	17.4
PHX	15.9	14.1	15.8	11.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-11	30	17.2	18.3	-1.04	14.7	12.9	1.76
Lamar Odom	68	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	17.2	17.9	-0.63	13.8	16.1	-2.25
Pau Gasol	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	7	-6	17.7	15.8	1.90	14.4	14.3	0.15
Metta World Peace	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	6	-4	17.8	15.2	2.63	14.5	14.1	0.40
Derek Fisher	57	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	9	-10	18.3	15.9	2.46	14.6	14.2	0.38
Jordan Farmar	34	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	2	4	15.9	18.3	-2.46	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Andrew Bynum	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	5	-2	17.1	17.6	-0.53	15.4	13.7	1.69
Sasha Vujacic	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	7	-6	16.9	17.6	-0.64	13.0	14.9	-1.81
Shannon Brown	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	16.2	17.5	-1.26	14.7	14.4	0.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	13.7	14.5	-0.83	17.8	17.4	0.42
Leandro Barbosa	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-14	20	13.9	14.7	-0.86	19.2	16.3	2.93
Goran Dragic	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	13.6	14.8	-1.22	19.5	16.2	3.28
Robin Lopez	14	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	18.1	13.7	4.42	15.9	17.7	-1.82
Grant Hill	41	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.4	14.4	0.01	16.5	18.2	-1.65
Jared Dudley	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	14.4	14.4	-0.01	18.2	16.5	1.65
Channing Frye	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-8	8	13.7	18.1	-4.42	17.7	15.9	1.82
Steve Nash	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	4	-16	14.8	13.6	1.22	16.2	19.5	-3.28
Jason Richardson	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	6	-20	14.7	13.9	0.86	16.3	19.2	-2.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.5	13.7	0.83	17.4	17.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	94.4%
NOH 96, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	94.2%
UTA 93, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	94.1%