NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	6.5 [564]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +21.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.5 [254]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -11.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.04	0.00	16	68%	0.23	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Michael Carter-Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.12	0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	30	56%	0.09	9	-0.21	12	58%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.06	-0.02	21	69%	0.28	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.01	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	5	92%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
David Nwaba	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.8	26.4	14.7	28.3	2.5	27.6	131.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +13.8%

HOU -1.8%

CLE +34.7%

CLE +4.0%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	17.3	14.3	116.1	127.2	109.3
season	14.8	15.5		114.0	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.4		116.5	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.5	12.8	14.5	14.7	13.8
CLE	16.0	16.0	18.2	19.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-7	5	19.5	13.6	5.95	17.0	17.4	-0.37
Gerald Green	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-13	17	12.5	14.5	-1.94	18.3	16.9	1.47
Michael Carter-Williams	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-2	-5	12.6	13.9	-1.38	16.9	17.4	-0.51
PJ Tucker	81	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-11	13	13.7	14.5	-0.80	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Gary Clark	42	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	14.2	13.5	0.74	17.2	17.4	-0.22
James Harden	84	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	13.9	12.6	1.38	17.4	16.9	0.51
Clint Capela	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.0	13.0	0.96	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Eric Gordon	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	14.0	12.9	1.14	17.4	17.2	0.21
James Ennis III	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.04	-17	8	-25	13.5	14.4	-0.91	17.0	18.0	-1.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	17.8	15.7	2.09	13.7	14.3	-0.69
Rodney Hood	47	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-6	21	16.5	18.3	-1.80	14.6	12.9	1.75
Tristan Thompson	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	1	7	17.2	18.1	-0.88	14.3	11.8	2.52
Cedi Osman	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-5	19	15.8	18.8	-2.94	14.4	13.2	1.19
Collin Sexton	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	17.0	18.2	-1.19	14.2	12.8	1.41
Jordan Clarkson	54	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	13	-17	18.6	15.5	3.10	13.2	14.6	-1.44
Andrew Harrison	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	7	-5	18.2	17.0	1.19	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Larry Nance Jr.	36	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	10	-11	16.9	17.7	-0.80	13.1	14.3	-1.14
Kyle Korver	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	16	-23	18.4	16.6	1.78	12.9	14.5	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, SAC 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	94.6%
MIA 109, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.88,1,1,0.98,1	94.6%
MIN 106, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%