NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	6.6 [479]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): +17.4%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	1.7 [288]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -7.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	21	70%	0.24	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	15	40%	-0.12
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.11	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	16	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	13	66%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	79%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	14	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	17	45%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.6	32.0	16.0	22.5	2.0	33.4	132.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +21.4%

SAC +15.4%

PHX -3.0%

SAC +14.6%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	15.5	115.7	123.5	106.4
season	14.1	15.0		112.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		112.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	15.1	13.5	13.2	13.5
SAC	13.8	14.2	14.8	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	48	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-14	20	12.7	14.3	-1.53	13.9	15.5	-1.64
Alando Tucker	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	14.2	13.5	0.75	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Goran Dragic	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	14.4	13.4	1.03	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Shaquille O'Neal	74	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-15	22	13.1	14.6	-1.52	15.4	12.9	2.44
Robin Lopez	8	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-3	-2	12.6	13.6	-0.99	10.3	15.0	-4.64
Stromile Swift	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	16.8	12.7	4.06	15.5	14.5	1.04
Lou Amundson	17	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	2	-12	16.1	13.0	3.02	14.1	14.8	-0.78
Grant Hill	84	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	12.9	16.7	-3.87	14.5	15.4	-0.83
Jason Richardson	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	13.3	15.1	-1.79	14.8	13.9	0.89
Steve Nash	90	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	13.6	13.4	0.14	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Jared Dudley	54	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	6	-20	14.0	13.0	0.94	15.2	14.2	1.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-9	26	14.3	15.5	-1.21	14.0	12.6	1.38
Beno Udrih	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	3	2	14.7	14.7	0.03	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Spencer Hawes	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	5	-2	15.1	13.8	1.28	12.7	15.4	-2.61
Jason Thompson	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.3	16.0	-1.67	13.7	13.1	0.57
Rashad McCants	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	1	6	14.8	14.6	0.15	13.9	13.2	0.79
Kevin Martin	80	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	10	-12	14.9	14.0	0.89	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Bobby Jackson	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	14.7	14.7	-0.03	13.8	13.4	0.43
Francisco Garcia	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	7	-6	15.2	14.1	1.16	13.9	13.1	0.76
Calvin Booth	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	12.8	14.9	-2.10	14.3	13.5	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 69, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 85, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	94.7%