NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	9.1 [160]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (MIL): +47.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	114		Comeback	45.5 [16]		LVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): -20.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.25	-0.07	0.32	-0.00	13	42%	0.34	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.00	13	68%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	-0.00	4	92%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.01	13	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.09,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	26	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.23	0.25	0.01	10	96%	0.47	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.05	-0.05	0.18	-0.20	0.03	16	80%	0.33	4	-0.37	12	58%	-0.10
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	9	65%	-0.03	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	17	19%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	30.3	14.4	26.7	1.8	36.4	137.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +15.8%

PHX +22.0%

MIL -6.7%

PHX +35.8%

MIL -17.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.0	14.3	110.5	108.6	109.3
season	14.4	13.5		104.8	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.0		104.0	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	14.8	13.1	15.8	14.4
MIL	12.2	12.9	14.0	13.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	86	87	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.49	14	-12	26	14.2	15.4	-1.15	13.2	11.9	1.27
Deandre Ayton	69	70	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.60	10	-8	18	13.9	15.5	-1.59	12.7	13.7	-1.03
T.J. Warren	65	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	0	2	14.8	13.8	1.06	13.4	12.3	1.04
Trevor Ariza	92	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	14.0	17.5	-3.55	12.9	13.6	-0.74
Jamal Crawford	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	10	-18	14.7	14.1	0.64	12.5	13.5	-1.03
Mikal Bridges	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	14.9	13.9	1.00	13.2	12.8	0.38
Isaiah Canaan	37	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	4	-6	14.0	14.6	-0.62	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Josh Jackson	35	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	14.5	14.4	0.17	12.6	13.2	-0.57
Richaun Holmes	36	35	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.16	-8	10	-18	15.5	13.9	1.59	13.7	12.7	1.03

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	45	46	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.12	14	-16	30	12.8	13.2	-0.39	14.6	14.3	0.36
Tony Snell	40	39	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-9	16	13.8	12.5	1.37	15.2	14.0	1.24
Matthew Dellavedova	16	15	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-8	14	13.4	12.9	0.44	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	37	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	14.2	12.4	1.84	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Thon Maker	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	3	-8	12.9	13.0	-0.07	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-9	16	12.7	14.1	-1.42	14.8	13.2	1.56
Sterling Brown	18	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	6	-14	12.9	13.0	-0.07	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Eric Bledsoe	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	12.7	13.5	-0.75	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Khris Middleton	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	5	-12	12.4	14.2	-1.79	13.9	15.4	-1.46
Malcolm Brogdon	65	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	12	-26	13.4	12.3	1.09	15.0	13.5	1.54
Brook Lopez	70	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	10	-22	12.8	13.3	-0.47	14.5	14.2	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.39,0.52,0.91,0.94,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.72,0.67,0.74,0	89.3%
MEM 102, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.87,0	89.2%
PHI 108, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.74,0.79,0.55,0.58,0	88.0%