NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	9.7 [92]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +45.5%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	6.0 [153]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -14.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.17,0.45	0.05	0.42	0.01	30	51%	0.54	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.18	-0.00	12	75%	0.34	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	22	67%	0.30	4	-0.13	4	50%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.13

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.20	0.03	30	62%	0.45	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.17,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.11	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.14	-0.04	11	62%	0.03	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.6	29.6	15.4	24.4	2.5	36.2	134.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +69.1%

DEN -14.9%

DEN -10.1%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.6	117.4	114.0	104.4
season	15.2	14.4		104.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		103.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.4	17.2	18.1	16.0
DEN	13.3	14.4	16.2	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	43	42	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.55	8	-6	14	16.7	15.4	1.29	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Chris Webber	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-3	8	15.7	18.5	-2.77	15.2	14.0	1.24
Andre Iguodala	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	15.5	16.6	-1.07	15.3	14.9	0.47
Kevin Ollie	13	13	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-5	12	17.2	15.8	1.31	18.8	14.5	4.26
Samuel Dalembert	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-7	16	15.7	16.3	-0.54	16.1	14.1	2.02
Kyle Korver	78	81	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	1	0	16.0	16.3	-0.30	15.2	14.2	0.98
Allen Iverson	79	80	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	7	-12	15.8	17.2	-1.31	14.5	18.8	-4.26
Matt Barnes	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	8	-14	16.2	16.0	0.17	13.7	15.6	-1.95
Shavlik Randolph	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	16.4	16.0	0.47	12.3	15.7	-3.39
Steven Hunter	33	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	7	-12	16.8	15.6	1.27	15.1	15.1	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	19	20	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-4	6	14.4	15.3	-0.93	16.1	16.0	0.09
Eduardo Najera	70	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-6	10	15.1	15.3	-0.20	15.2	18.3	-3.14
Marcus Camby	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	3	-8	14.2	15.3	-1.11	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Earl Watson	59	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.35	8	-10	18	14.6	16.1	-1.50	16.7	14.9	1.76
Earl Boykins	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-4	6	17.3	13.8	3.54	16.5	15.7	0.78
DerMarr Johnson	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	4	-10	14.9	15.2	-0.31	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Greg Buckner	40	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-5	8	13.8	16.1	-2.21	16.6	15.7	0.89
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-4	6	15.1	15.3	-0.20	16.1	15.7	0.39
Francisco Elson	44	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	8	-18	15.8	14.5	1.35	16.7	15.4	1.24
Andre Miller	80	79	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	8	-18	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.6	18.9	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.74,0.79,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.72,0.67,0.74,0	89.8%
IND 100, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.66,0.58,0	89.6%
PHI 105, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.29,0	89.2%