NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	9.3 [118]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +52.6%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	2.4 [301]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -32.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.53	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.22,0.53	0.13	0.41	0.01	25	66%	0.70	5	-0.17	9	67%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.20	0.12	0.00	13	93%	0.42	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Rodney Carney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	52%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Shavlik Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02	-0.03	0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.4	0.40	0.13	0.26	-0.00	11	78%	0.49	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	85%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	40%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Travis Diener	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.19	-0.01	12	48%	-0.07	4	-0.17	5	40%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	6	-0.39	9	44%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.6	35.5	16.8	28.8	2.0	44.1	158.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.8%

PHI +5.4%

ORL -49.8%

PHI +31.7%

PHI +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.4	112.9	107.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.7	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	15.7	14.6	14.8	15.4
ORL	13.0	13.8	17.5	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	78	81	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.52	7	-5	12	15.2	16.7	-1.51	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Kyle Korver	58	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	14.5	16.9	-2.34	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	15.2	25.0	-9.81	15.1	13.7	1.46
Rodney Carney	40	42	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	0	2	14.6	16.0	-1.40	16.4	14.0	2.39
Chris Webber	65	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-4	10	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Samuel Dalembert	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-8	18	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.4	14.7	0.71
Willie Green	12	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	7	-12	16.8	15.2	1.65	13.1	15.4	-2.36
Shavlik Randolph	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	17.0	15.3	1.73	17.1	14.9	2.22
Kevin Ollie	39	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	11	-20	17.6	13.8	3.86	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Steven Hunter	27	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	7	-12	14.3	15.8	-1.55	15.1	15.1	-0.01

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	9	7	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-6	10	12.7	15.3	-2.67	17.1	15.3	1.89
Darko Milicic	31	29	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-6	10	13.3	15.9	-2.60	15.9	15.2	0.77
Tony Battie	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	16.4	14.4	1.97	15.7	15.2	0.53
Pat Garrity	30	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	16.3	14.5	1.82	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Jameer Nelson	71	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-4	6	14.8	15.9	-1.08	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-3	4	14.8	16.0	-1.15	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Keith Bogans	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.1	-0.04	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Keyon Dooling	54	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	15.4	14.6	0.78	14.7	16.2	-1.57
Grant Hill	72	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	5	-12	15.2	14.7	0.50	16.0	13.4	2.60
Dwight Howard	70	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.7	0.48	15.7	14.6	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.23,0.32,0.42,0	90.7%
SAS 92, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.28,0	90.2%
NYK 87, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.27,0	90.1%