NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	8.9 [147]		MVP	Jeff Green (MEM): +49.6%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	38.2 [36]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -24.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,0.5	-0.03	0.53	0.01	12	41%	0.52	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.05
Nick Calathes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.15	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.09	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Jon Leuer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.02	15	66%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.19	8	87%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	6	85%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	0.00	4	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	19	55%	0.25	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.06
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	58%	0.13	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	52%	0.08	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.24	-0.24	-0.01	-0.22	0.02	15	47%	-0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	24.8	15.4	32.4	1.8	35.1	136.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -1.4%

MEM +42.5%

MEM +15.3%

PHX -5.0%

PHX -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	13.8	15.1	109.7	107.4	104.2
season	15.9	14.4		103.8	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.4	16.7	16.7	16.3	17.0
PHX	14.4	14.0	14.0	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-6	13	17.1	16.7	0.39	14.2	13.2	0.92
Marc Gasol	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	17.2	16.5	0.70	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Jeff Green	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	2	-3	17.5	15.6	1.88	13.5	15.0	-1.50
Courtney Lee	62	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.51	-7	8	-15	18.0	15.0	3.02	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Nick Calathes	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-5	11	14.4	17.8	-3.38	14.3	13.7	0.56
Mike Conley	51	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	4	-7	18.0	15.7	2.26	14.1	13.5	0.51
Jon Leuer	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	-4	9	15.8	17.4	-1.58	14.1	13.7	0.39
Beno Udrih	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	-1	3	16.3	17.4	-1.11	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Tony Allen	47	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	1	-1	15.8	18.2	-2.45	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Kosta Koufos	30	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	6	-11	16.9	17.0	-0.17	14.1	13.7	0.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	45	44	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.34	4	-5	9	12.4	15.2	-2.81	17.4	16.6	0.77
PJ Tucker	51	51	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.20	8	-9	17	14.4	13.2	1.21	18.1	15.7	2.39
Alex Len	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-2	3	14.6	13.2	1.45	17.2	16.8	0.43
Goran Dragic	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.53	14	-15	29	13.6	15.3	-1.78	17.6	13.5	4.09
Miles Plumlee	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	2	-5	13.3	14.0	-0.65	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Gerald Green	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	6	-13	12.2	14.0	-1.74	14.6	17.2	-2.58
Eric Bledsoe	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-9	17	14.2	12.5	1.69	17.4	15.5	1.88
Marcus Morris	43	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	8	-17	13.2	14.4	-1.21	15.7	18.1	-2.39
Isaiah Thomas	49	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	9	-19	13.4	14.3	-0.86	15.6	18.4	-2.80
Markieff Morris	60	60	-1.11	0.61	-1.71	-0.78	-11	10	-21	15.0	11.8	3.21	16.7	17.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.87,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 73, HOU 72	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.83,0	89.9%
NOH 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0	89.6%
PHX 116, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.39,0.52,0.91,0.94,0.91,0	89.2%