NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	124		Excitement	3.9 [1064]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (ATL): +15.8%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1139]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -10.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.14	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.07	13	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	79%	0.07	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Loyd	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.25	0.01	0.09	13	100%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	44%	-0.02	1	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.8	14.7	33.9	2.0	30.2	133.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.0%

TOR +5.2%

TOR +23.7%

ATL -9.6%

TOR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.3	120.4	105.9	109.3
season	14.3	13.6		111.5	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.5		112.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	15.2	12.7	14.5	14.3
ATL	14.7	14.2	15.0	11.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.21	28	-12	40	14.2	14.4	-0.20	15.0	11.8	3.15
Jonas Valanciunas	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-5	26	13.7	14.9	-1.24	15.8	11.6	4.25
Fred VanVleet	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	1	14	14.2	14.5	-0.36	14.8	11.0	3.87
Pascal Siakam	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-3	22	14.4	13.9	0.53	14.2	13.2	1.05
Danny Green	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	1	14	14.6	13.6	0.94	14.3	13.1	1.17
Serge Ibaka	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	12	-8	14.8	13.8	1.03	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Delon Wright	46	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	14	-12	14.9	13.7	1.15	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Chris Boucher	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	12.7	14.4	-1.74	8.6	14.3	-5.66
Malachi Richardson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	12.7	14.4	-1.74	8.6	14.3	-5.66
Jordan Loyd	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	12.7	14.4	-1.74	8.6	14.3	-5.66
Lorenzo Brown	36	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	24	-32	13.9	14.4	-0.47	11.9	14.9	-2.94
Greg Monroe	33	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	26	-36	14.5	14.1	0.34	11.3	14.9	-3.65

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	30	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-21	26	11.0	15.0	-4.03	15.3	13.8	1.53
Tyler Dorsey	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	9.3	14.2	-4.89	11.4	14.5	-3.03
Jeremy Lin	55	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-16	16	13.1	14.7	-1.55	15.2	13.2	1.92
Kevin Huerter	52	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-20	24	13.2	14.6	-1.41	14.5	13.9	0.60
DeAndre' Bembry	34	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-16	16	14.2	13.7	0.50	15.4	13.6	1.79
Miles Plumlee	27	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-11	6	15.8	13.1	2.63	15.4	13.8	1.57
Vince Carter	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-16	16	13.2	14.3	-1.04	14.8	13.8	0.93
John Collins	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	14.2	13.4	0.80	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Dewayne Dedmon	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	1	-18	13.4	14.8	-1.37	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Kent Bazemore	33	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	6	-28	15.8	12.9	2.83	12.5	15.0	-2.44
Trae Young	47	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	0	-16	14.7	13.1	1.55	13.2	15.2	-1.92
Taurean Prince	53	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	3	-22	15.0	12.6	2.45	13.9	14.6	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, GSW 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
WAS 98, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DAL 91, MIN 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%